TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd119…28ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.93
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$712.34
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$971.56
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$170.53
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$230.63
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.74
Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.32
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$36.21
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$450.61
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$381.33
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$249.07
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$114.71
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$335.15
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+250.3%+$735.25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$319.56
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+220.8%+$704.12
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$151.26
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.11
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880.28
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$231.74
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$345.69
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$345.94
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$32.3
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.37
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$235.61
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$72.91
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$432.25
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.53
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.07
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$665.97
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,708Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,686.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.42
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$351.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.52
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.