La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x030e3bd256805c33f271e2683e4cdbf2dbad25f93a38172d876acd30fff309cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,609,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,914,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,609,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed No | 47c | 288,092$134,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,903.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 74,355$42,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,321.84 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 44c | 69,928$30,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,441.92 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 68,033$29,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,645.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 57c | 61,869$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,869.07 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 53c | 47,819$25,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,474.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 43c | 44,999$19,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,349.58 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 54c | 41,945$22,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,647.5 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 53c | 38,732$20,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,203.91 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 45c | 32,208$14,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,493.76 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 30,670$13,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,387.53 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Yes | 54c | 28,600$15,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,164 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 45c | 24,572$10,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,980.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 46c | 20,032$9,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,817.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 18,403$8,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,115.24 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.82 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 62c | 16,224$10,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,055.01 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 45c | 14,760$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.94 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 57c | 14,035$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed No | 43c | 12,850$5,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,525.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 55c | 12,797$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.48 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 24c | 11,497$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.33 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 56c | 10,546$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.37 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 48c | 10,342$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.28 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 54c | 10,100$5,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.99 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.69 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 45c | 9,308$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.97 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 43c | 9,000$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.96 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 56c | 8,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 55c | 8,777$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 47c | 8,193$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 57c | 8,119$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 55c | 8,000$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked No | 46c | 7,782$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 43c | 7,777$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.3 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…ed3dbacked Yes | 57c | 7,512$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 43c | 7,289$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 43c | 6,855$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.54 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 6,796$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.51 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Yes | 57c | 6,632$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 1c | 5,819$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed Yes | 53c | 5,755$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 25c | 5,483$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.33 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 43c | 5,412$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 44c | 5,410$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.06 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 5,146$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.29 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 54c | 4,994$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.18 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 44c | 4,554$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.76 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed No | 4c | 4,435$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…d42ebacked Yes | 57c | 4,396$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 28c | 4,345$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 57c | 4,211$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 43c | 4,190$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.72 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 48c | 4,003$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 45c | 3,820$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.72 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…cf57backed Yes | 57c | 3,818$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 63c | 3,814$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.57 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 40c | 3,684$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.84 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 56c | 3,630$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.08 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 44c | 3,623$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.07 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 64c | 3,352$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.57 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 3,206$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.84 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 3,132$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.75 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 74c | 3,108$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.11 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes | 55c | 3,091$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 53c | 3,016$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 44c | 2,976$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Yes | 54c | 2,900$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 44c | 2,631$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 2,593$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.86 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 54c | 2,516$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.87 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed No | 45c | 2,493$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…74dfbacked Yes | 57c | 2,490$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 54c | 2,485$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.1 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 45c | 2,476$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.92 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Yes | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +460.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 53c | 2,358$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.49 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.