TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5257…3e2abacked No75c34,460$25,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,615.11875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c6,672$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.514,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8092…4efcbacked Yes32c6,539$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed Yes25c5,742$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No75c5,004$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2518246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c3,180$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.4892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No65c2,946$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.151662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No65c2,428$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.692556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No74c2,015$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.9418956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c1,956$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No76c1,844$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c1,671$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.861,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c1,606$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.5583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No71c1,347$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.713476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f7…05debacked Yes24c1,255$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.76757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Yes4c1,248$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes24c1,194$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7919840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Yes25c1,144$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed No76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.472871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No64c781.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.512365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No75c762.44$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.422828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No76c746$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c666$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes25c604$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed No65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes2c549.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135625%14 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes27c521.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes25c379.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No77c377.92$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.929666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Yes20c350.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes34c345$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No77c315$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.458672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No66c306.54$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.265166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No75c300$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7511258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes17c275$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.410927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes23c241.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes32c225$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No75c222.94$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7328045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c220.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.882,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No75c215.4$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dd…6c94backed No73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.487100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c205.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1133734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes24c203$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No71c175.46$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c172.07$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc28…9a83backed Yes36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No78c160$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7510445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes24c158.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c157.27$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.321,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357946.8%37 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No76c120.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.049956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3026853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee1…fcf5backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes34c113.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4419555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x753e…5c11backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes24c109.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5210843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.269950.5%50 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c102.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No75c97.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6137348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3d…f1eabacked Yes25c94.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.711735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes24c91.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c89.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0963553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes38c89.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3480%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No74c87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9124048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed No76c85.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.591080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed No74c82.32$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.292035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+140.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes23c78.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0323843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c76.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6641348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Yes21c74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.544736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e73…27a3backed Yes27c72.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.287153.5%38 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes26c69.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.177623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No75c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1619646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…0cb1backed Yes32c61.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…a794backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No75c57.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.438353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.