TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bb5…63c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+91%+$20.03
Will South Africa vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$16.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+145%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$105.78
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$65.53
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.