TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$576,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$641,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes40c130,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,999.793234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c27,956$17,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,313.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No60c22,633$13,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,593.4419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c19,003$11,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,538.161,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes39c17,482$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,698.893053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes37c17,010$6,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,682.481752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c12,025$7,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,293.152,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c11,029$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.5626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes39c10,160$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.55038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.985242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No61c9,000$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,489.9415949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c8,398$3,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,084.084,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No60c8,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8006550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c6,701$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.6688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c6,400$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No62c6,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,72018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No61c5,999$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.6510951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No60c5,839$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.2420545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes72c5,826$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.9676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.21825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes38c5,060$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.73132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c5,047$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.962,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No74c5,028$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.2910768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes78c4,803$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.0718748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No60c4,800$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes36c4,529$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.8310053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes32c4,516$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.921450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No62c4,444$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.2832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No20c4,231$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.177129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No37c3,884$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.2977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes39c3,852$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.423141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes43c3,840$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.44233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No33c3,824$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.8574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…ac9ebacked No62c3,642$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No60c3,587$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.9175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed No60c3,300$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4953…43e2backed No62c2,947$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No60c2,891$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.610765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59c3…20c8backed Yes38c2,865$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes57c2,805$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.354744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No60c2,800$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No28c2,679$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.297327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes39c2,658$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.383053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+59.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9885…c43ebacked Yes38c2,651$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x053b…03b8backed No62c2,569$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.65366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No61c2,554$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.036448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes39c2,548$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.262347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No58c2,424$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.5524047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No60c2,400$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes20c2,343$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.176240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No48c2,217$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.5659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No69c2,001$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.7120040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Yes41c1,944$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.91637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x635e…0438backed Yes40c1,874$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes59c1,831$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.6153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c1,815$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.5596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c1,749$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.1349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes57c1,741$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.97050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No61c1,740$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.3527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes39c1,728$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.8614162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No60c1,721$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No61c1,672$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.241662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked No60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No63c1,623$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.685851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No60c1,600$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222c…0772backed No60c1,570$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No63c1,553$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.432751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No60c1,523$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92018156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No61c1,520$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.129254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x643d…98bebacked No42c1,439$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No60c1,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c1,384$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.2567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed No19c1,373$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.11010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes49c1,339$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.933246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No60c1,300$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78016858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Yes38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes39c1,291$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.2855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1143…b69fbacked Yes39c1,276$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.142142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c1,270$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes36c1,225$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.292343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No60c1,165$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.7226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes39c1,148$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.952040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes41c1,138$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes39c1,100$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6719042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No61c1,088$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.6728456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No60c1,042$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.218651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.642924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6207444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No61c999.97$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.