TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c43,544$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.734,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Yes56c28,116$15,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,745.0450%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c13,368$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.592,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c11,581$5,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,433.8276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes54c11,089$6,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,038.146746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes16c10,115$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.2226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c10,113$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c9,487$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.0888635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes35c7,468$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.7910765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes35c6,242$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.5219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No60c5,201$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.622277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes15c4,630$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf919…3241backed Yes35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes44c3,783$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.6210053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes53c3,546$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.873847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No64c3,479$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.3590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c3,200$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c3,172$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.261,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.473053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes47c2,790$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.4653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c1,870$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.352,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c1,870$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.3540655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c1,847$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No64c1,520$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.819254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c1,400$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50415255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes35c1,359$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.5626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43214158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes8c1,149$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9228859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No48c1,137$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.177129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No65c1,096$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.646100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes34c1,074$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1421250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No62c1,063$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No45c1,010$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.7613748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes36c999.98$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes5c999.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes7c909.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.211315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2887959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes34c769.16$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7322049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes35c740.82$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2912949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504734%16 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes18c709.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes35c669.28$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7811049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No79c646.47$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No60c630.48$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c626$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes31c624.61$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6390%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes37c612.27$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.542326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21617062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21614459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes54c591.76$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c583$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes34c582.35$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19820956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c543.28$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.274156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No52c516$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.447335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No46c484$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.487048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No64c480$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No64c480$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No62c479.23$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.514060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes34c476.47$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes37c475$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+223.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf8fe…f731backed Yes35c455$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes12c448.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7710634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes55c433.64$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.54047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc22a…0bffbacked Yes35c429$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes8c421$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6829250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14414355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No64c399.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14425544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No65c399.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9914654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes65c384$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.625745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No70c365.17$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.558453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1a…dfcfbacked Yes33c348.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+64.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No64c329.62$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6612157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Yes36c283.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.154055%22 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No64c280$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.814658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3628…c986backed Yes36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.55545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No69c245$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9520059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No64c244.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.186758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Yes55c240.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.532030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c240.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0354340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be6…3473backed No66c234.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes57c228.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304040%16 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9793…78e5backed No66c223$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.