TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b75…6bb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
426
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: La Liga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,128.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+530.5%+$11,737.34
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,999.99
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.98
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,158.61
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,352.98
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.33
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.09
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+829.2%+$790.38
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.14
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$704
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.4
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$925
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+353.8%+$1,111.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.9
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.84
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.37
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.47
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.74
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.39
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$979.8
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,448.28
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$526.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$188.69
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+67%+$468.68
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.8
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.75
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,369.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$189.21
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.56
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.77
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$514.29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.6
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$2,174.4
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.2
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$623.33
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,360
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,586
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$196.73
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$279.91
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.98
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.2
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.87
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,196
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$339.26
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$425.79
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+226.2%+$2,261.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+234.8%+$3,051.85
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,191.89
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,237.5
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.5
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.17
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.99
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.6
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$531.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,088.78
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$868.26
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+181%+$1,919.6
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 3 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,208.41
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.83
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+285.9%+$740.86
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$1,027.51
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,648.07
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+359%+$1,461.15
Will Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$604.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+99.9%+$2,097.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$1,558.45
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$581.74
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$420.2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$1,381.99
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.99
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$998
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$37.72
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$359.76
Will OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.72
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.