Middle East · resolved market
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0a2d49b4bea7145a8ca4f43644f82e8013620f45f80665406415c4dfe40966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $987,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,011,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 961 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67b1…561ebacked No | 7c | 39,330$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 5c | 28,915$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.55 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked No | 61c | 21,149$12,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,894.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 22c | 20,830$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.72 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed No | 60c | 20,797$12,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,397.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 56c | 18,895$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,489.97 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 14,431$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…1a33backed No | 59c | 12,109$7,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,194.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 1c | 11,660$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 5c | 11,552$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.53 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 51c | 11,405$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,597.48 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 62c | 11,098$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.14 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 60c | 11,033$6,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.4 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 37c | 10,623$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.4 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 55c | 10,520$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.07 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 71c | 10,219$7,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.22 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked Yes | 80c | 8,926$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 42c | 8,444$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.1 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 9c | 7,439$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.6 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed No | 4c | 6,388$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…2e5abacked No | 10c | 5,945$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 39c | 5,879$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.58 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…7e7dbacked No | 57c | 5,487$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 46c | 5,321$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.92 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 57c | 5,292$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 44c | 5,225$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.52 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…79a9backed No | 5c | 5,158$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed Yes | 62c | 5,009$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.05 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…59d5backed No | 5c | 4,760$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 2cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed No | 5c | 4,719$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 68c | 4,507$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.27 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…dba3backed No | 44c | 4,469$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…b90abacked No | 4c | 4,319$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 15c | 4,287$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked No | 34c | 4,274$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…1f4fbacked No | 4c | 4,140$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…81fbbacked No | 33c | 4,116$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 20cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed No | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 38c | 3,963$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.62 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed No | 39c | 3,951$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked No | 8c | 3,950$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.73 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…3d60backed No | 4c | 3,706$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked No | 3c | 3,539$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 46c | 3,456$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.15 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 53c | 3,445$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.46 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 4c | 3,434$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 45c | 3,369$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.04 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…972cbacked No | 5c | 3,288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed Yes | 35c | 3,227$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.42 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 47c | 3,124$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.22 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…adecbacked No | 35c | 3,112$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.98 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…9e90backed No | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 61c | 2,954$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ae74backed Yes | 73c | 2,890$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…be3ebacked No | 11c | 2,735$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…7e55backed Yes | 66c | 2,713$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,692$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 2,678$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.66 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,672$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.66 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…c062backed No | 14c | 2,640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…6a9dbacked No | 7c | 2,519$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 47c | 2,449$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.65 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 6c | 2,381$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 7c | 2,250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Yes | 57c | 2,245$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…43a9backed No | 37c | 2,230$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 53c | 2,204$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.67 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 7c | 2,200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…ad7cbacked No | 5c | 2,180$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…cce0backed No | 4c | 2,138$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 47c | 2,130$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…a98bbacked No | 40c | 2,079$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +379.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 2,066$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.43 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 14c | 2,055$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 67c | 2,055$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.18 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +54%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Yes | 37c | 2,052$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 49c | 2,036$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 41c | 2,004$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.87 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 36c | 2,002$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.67 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…530ebacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,995$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.16 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,939$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.19 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 21c | 1,928$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed No | 14c | 1,913$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 52c | 1,888$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.77 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 46c | 1,877$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.62 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 5c | 1,821$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…41d7backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 30c | 1,800$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.29 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 19c | 1,799$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,781$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.57 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 55c | 1,764$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.87 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…ee68backed Yes | 36c | 1,715$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 42c | 1,700$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…9f51backed Yes | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.