TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x756e…fe0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,072.7
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$734
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.22
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$261.4
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.74
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.15
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.68
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$116.8
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$8.24
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.4
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$507.64
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.58
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$771.07
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.75
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$25.5
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22.5
Derrick White: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.7%+$24.35
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.86
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$50.69
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.08
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$226.06
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.12
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$305.37
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$460.68
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+386.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+252.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+604.7%+$120.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$43.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.