TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$607,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c137,570$71,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,803.6620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Under50c132,926$66,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,462.893860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c119,961$59,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,581.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over47c45,658$21,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,459.1624942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e0…649bbacked Over52c28,252$14,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,557.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c27,184$13,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,348.141,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c22,681$11,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,040.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under53c20,629$10,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,695.5316547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c19,853$10,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,33120744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over47c18,900$8,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,88335744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c14,071$6,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,791.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c13,059$6,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,236.621,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over49c12,300$6,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0274134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Under51c11,419$5,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,595.221844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c11,030$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over39c10,919$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.7615644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Over47c10,171$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.382466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Over47c9,682$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.544143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under54c8,946$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.217055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c8,075$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c6,830$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under52c6,557$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.755561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,500$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5851,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Over47c4,851$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.083554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Over47c4,656$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.135843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under61c3,985$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.9717042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c3,730$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.9163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c3,655$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.152,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Over46c3,452$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.493046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under53c2,915$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.2456453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,805$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under17c2,698$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.7352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under50c2,696$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.156741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over52c2,620$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.8316159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Under53c2,589$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.91850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,541$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c2,411$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under53c2,366$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.71,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7f…8a37backed Under56c2,327$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.551216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over49c2,269$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.625743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over49c2,180$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.2714052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under53c2,027$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.6322948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9404,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c1,945$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.7718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,911$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.643,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over45c1,907$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.3220856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c1,901$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.1562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c1,814$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.12,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over48c1,660$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.6632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Under52c1,494$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.522544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Under50c1,494$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.7812058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over49c1,462$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.6245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over51c1,428$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3610149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under54c1,425$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.7631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over49c1,402$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over49c1,350$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6457950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.844052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…48babacked Under61c1,334$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c1,318$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.592,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under51c1,305$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over48c1,211$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.2817147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6012…685abacked Over41c1,210$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.582634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over49c1,197$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.1749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under60c1,172$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9121848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over67c1,149$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.1993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under50c1,131$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56425840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,069$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Under54c1,050$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.924953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under71c1,042$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3310144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over30c1,016$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1310239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Over48c1,010$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over48c999.93$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9744252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under50c995.85$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9320647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Under51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.595547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48579549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4852025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6b…2ae8backed Over48c941.33$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Over52c934.71$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.595347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f45…0510backed Under52c933.98$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Under52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.251384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+59.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6273…82edbacked Under52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over47c916.19$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0321147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c905.54$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43613935.3%49 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c828.89$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.651,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c826.7$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.5590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over47c824.91$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7117052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over47c824$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2814046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over50c805.1$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5538453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c799.32$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6546258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c792.21$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38861740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over50c732.77$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.