TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xacc5…c31f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.91
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$765
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012.34
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,990.01
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,325.12
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.01
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$726
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,602.49
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,119.63
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$1,084.14
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.99
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.98
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,250
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$236.86
Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,943.22
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,470
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,446Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+79.8%+$1,154
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$561.01
Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$336.52
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,979.99
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$940
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,450
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$592.7
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,350
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,340
Spread: Colts (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$980
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$232
Vikings vs. Browns: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$270.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)backed South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,014.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$178.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$926.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.