TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,136,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,499,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,136,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Rockets68c1,203,297$819,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819,832.067243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers45c235,067$105,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129,569.0585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed Lakers35c206,964$72,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,407.323554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Rockets64c202,222$130,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,333.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Lakers55c200,000$110,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,999.943860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers32c138,361$44,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,899.0666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers39c137,562$54,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,276.252,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers36c110,788$39,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,248.441,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers50c109,924$55,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,894.0913642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rockets57c100,000$57,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,999.7854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Rockets58c97,480$56,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,538.49938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers30c96,328$28,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,338.8856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers30c88,615$26,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,030.51,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets10c84,440$8,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,754.73,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Rockets64c67,165$43,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,036.9420454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets37c64,259$24,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,049.861,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers48c64,140$31,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,092.6742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813a…b67fbacked Lakers53c55,393$29,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,034.521040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Lakers42c55,201$23,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,127.939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers42c55,020$23,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,911.639745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets16c52,608$8,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,255.261,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets54c51,950$27,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,985.161,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rockets59c50,800$29,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,971.9827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Rockets59c49,798$29,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,594.849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Rockets66c49,521$32,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,639.034143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Lakers36c48,080$17,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,771.215349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Rockets47c47,866$22,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,497.134825%12 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers35c47,091$16,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,720.9787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Lakers77c44,477$34,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,186.5111654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Lakers43c41,194$17,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,349.068035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Lakers54c38,406$20,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,851.3716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets7c37,279$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.871,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Rockets45c31,007$13,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,802.012650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Rockets48c30,932$14,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,897.568452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Rockets66c30,480$19,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,966.938750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Rockets65c29,999$19,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.0612639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockets0c29,979$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.137211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Rockets0c28,422$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.725213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets20c28,376$5,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.1393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets36c27,962$10,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,100.6722458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Rockets59c27,700$16,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,342.9321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Lakers30c25,504$7,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,746.5334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Rockets58c24,211$14,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,042.1116547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Rockets57c23,381$13,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,327.063138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Lakers51c22,820$11,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,162.466550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Lakers64c21,141$13,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,528.386357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers41c20,930$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,348.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Lakers49c20,313$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,314.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+90%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Rockets22c20,021$4,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,307.0119937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…972fbacked Rockets65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Rockets62c20,000$12,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,449.685246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers53c19,436$10,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,134.9229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Rockets0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers71c18,735$13,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,440.072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers37c18,667$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,737.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets9c18,420$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.131,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Rockets47c18,157$8,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,542.2344337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Rockets64c18,127$11,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,601.381942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets45c17,864$8,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,062.8434456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6233…6349backed Lakers65c17,361$11,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,103.873467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Rockets32c17,311$5,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,458.4623724.1%57 W · 180 L-32.9wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-59.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Lakers40c17,069$6,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,251.5331455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers37c16,893$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,600.261,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Rockets58c16,807$9,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,74810747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers42c15,699$6,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,104.8935251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets36c15,203$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,472.41,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Lakers38c15,132$5,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,342.6927247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418f…abf0backed Lakers35c15,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,749.951080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+65.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Lakers38c14,931$5,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,300.4212042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…5318backed Rockets66c14,561$9,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,572.142653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers32c14,313$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,729.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets0c14,255$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.655502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers44c13,930$6,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,768.4889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lakers60c13,905$8,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,517.151,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Rockets68c13,836$9,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,408.733647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Rockets42c13,813$5,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,860.5610743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Rockets66c12,752$8,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,391.1521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4b…a0c7backed Lakers68c12,335$8,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.082638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Lakers30c11,726$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,176.1727463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Rockets33c11,486$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.827243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rockets26c11,406$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.147638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Rockets57c11,247$6,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,410.789330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers43c11,186$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,376.1725248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Lakers75c11,178$8,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.036459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Rockets28c11,031$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.2712529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rockets22c10,938$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.6536023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers35c10,571$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,871.1537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Rockets52c10,409$5,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,422.0411558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f8…b76fbacked Rockets57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.982860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Lakers41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.973770.3%26 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6658…8afdbacked Rockets67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.815856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets55c10,000$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5041,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Rockets44c9,937$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,337.7418941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Lakers42c9,840$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,707.0910949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Lakers35c9,610$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,246.54042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Lakers73c9,565$7,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.7329547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…6729backed Lakers35c9,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Rockets67c8,813$5,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,865.3414733.3%49 W · 98 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Rockets57c8,476$4,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,831.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.