NBA · resolved market
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89715e567b125a39aef47bd85cd1726fe503fb017ce4676e1140b96471a829f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x735f…c2d5backed Yes | 1c | 10,646$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked No | 76c | 3,321$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.96 | 58 | 87.9%51 W · 7 L | +13.6wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 57c | 1,654$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.66 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Yes | 12c | 825$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 49c | 799.95$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed Yes | 13c | 581$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Yes | 44c | 579.84$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Yes | 4c | 520$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Yes | 6c | 382.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 49c | 276.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Yes | 18c | 266$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Yes | 18c | 266$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 51c | 257.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 55c | 238.15$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4894…2c94backed Yes | 25c | 153.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 35cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Yes | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Yes | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yes | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yes | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed No | 50c | 120.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Yes | 50c | 99.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -10.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Yes | 44c | 93.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 33c | 87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…8a44backed Yes | 23c | 81.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yes | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed No | 51c | 47.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Yes | 45c | 42.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…dc29backed Yes | 50c | 39.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 51c | 34.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…300ebacked Yes | 50c | 28.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 46c | 27.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 50c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…6398backed Yes | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.