NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e962dab7dd5aba0135bbf71cfe67b432c5675fbb2598452842f6f144a7e1fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 54c | 79,749$43,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,684.69 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 56c | 68,181$37,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,196.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rockets | 44c | 68,100$29,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,964 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Lakers | 52c | 34,556$17,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,586.72 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Rockets | 46c | 27,142$12,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,485.25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Rockets | 47c | 24,300$11,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,420.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Lakers | 53c | 22,000$11,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 52c | 17,577$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.15 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets | 46c | 16,328$7,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,511 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 65c | 14,912$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.22 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 60c | 11,509$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,603.47 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8a00backed Rockets | 46c | 10,513$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 46c | 9,608$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 47c | 7,456$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 18c | 7,138$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Rockets | 47c | 6,756$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.72 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Lakers | 55c | 6,303$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.5 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rockets | 47c | 6,209$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.07 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Rockets | 40c | 5,994$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.37 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 55c | 5,992$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.3 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Rockets | 48c | 5,633$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.84 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 45c | 5,626$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…4088backed Rockets | 46c | 4,870$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Rockets | 48c | 4,844$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.12 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 48c | 4,844$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.12 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Lakers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Rockets | 48c | 3,975$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.24 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…11c1backed Lakers | 54c | 3,972$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 55c | 3,892$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.4 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…cb21backed Rockets | 44c | 3,888$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Rockets | 47c | 3,633$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.96 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Rockets | 48c | 3,334$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.15 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Lakers | 55c | 2,774$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.52 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 46c | 2,665$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 20c | 2,594$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Rockets | 45c | 2,330$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.44 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,222$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.53 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Rockets | 43c | 2,154$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.14 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Rockets | 9c | 2,135$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Lakers | 61c | 2,021$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.67 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Lakers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rockets | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rockets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Lakers | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.7 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Rockets | 47c | 1,915$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.67 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Rockets | 46c | 1,893$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.84 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 8c | 1,851$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets | 31c | 1,718$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.11 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,697$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Rockets | 46c | 1,679$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.21 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 46c | 1,600$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Rockets | 45c | 1,570$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…92b4backed Lakers | 53c | 1,499$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 41c | 1,472$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,431$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,330$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.07 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Rockets | 48c | 1,177$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 54c | 1,110$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Rockets | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rockets | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Rockets | 46c | 1,086$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Rockets | 48c | 1,066$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.53 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Rockets | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.07 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…5e27backed Rockets | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 55c | 1,030$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.59 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 55c | 1,030$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.59 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Rockets | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 71c | 1,010$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Rockets | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Rockets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…8ba3backed Rockets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Rockets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Rockets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…07e1backed Rockets | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 40c | 971.19$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Rockets | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Rockets | 45c | 919.82$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Rockets | 46c | 870.84$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.59 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Rockets | 46c | 841.39$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 56c | 808.15$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.38 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Rockets | 46c | 800.79$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.37 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 55c | 790.46$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.32 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Rockets | 47c | 736.54$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.17 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Rockets | 46c | 736.21$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Rockets | 48c | 734.35$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Rockets | 45c | 687.64$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Lakers | 53c | 631.74$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.32 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Rockets | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Rockets | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Rockets | 46c | 605.8$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rockets | 48c | 599.69$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…c33fbacked Rockets | 48c | 565.76$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…50febacked Rockets | 48c | 552.2$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d2…4bf4backed Lakers | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…85f0backed Lakers | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6e…3e8ebacked Lakers | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2d…63ecbacked Lakers | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.