TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c10,602$5,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,619.546045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c8,381$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,468.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c7,497$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.7284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c4,835$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.021,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over20c2,863$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.773231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over48c2,647$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.128949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c2,433$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over5c1,623$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1327937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Under50c1,455$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.52250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over34c1,297$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,284$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under66c1,188$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8117553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,015$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under58c982.02$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.451,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under57c910.14$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.221,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under59c871.13$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1711864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over54c807.16$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.659652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Over52c799.74$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c775.5$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under45c705.88$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over40c599.11$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over57c572.36$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.431,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over53c547.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over56c507.45$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1710149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c499.51$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7311437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…7d02backed Over7c496.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.513844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over41c494.06$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.576448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under44c483.21$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.616743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…1a11backed Over41c471.68$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under47c447.62$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2417249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over55c447.58$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1742348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over10c422.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.219046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Over7c415.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.088027.5%22 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c411.28$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.916344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Over49c403.28$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.55133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Over15c391.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.547064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over37c357.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0913835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd9…7ff5backed Over54c348.44$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.53767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7216159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over57c342.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8426048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under43c339.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under45c332.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9114052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c248.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under44c231.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.887452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5218850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under41c218.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63db…3403backed Over53c204.85$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under50c203.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8510552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x915f…ddabbacked Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Under48c200.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.283342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c199.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe698…8259backed Under50c196.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over53c194.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0111156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ab…ece5backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over7c180.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7552…3d52backed Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3631249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c61…5d06backed Over57c170.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.425145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under47c169.04$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.571,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under46c168.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under44c168.52$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Over52c167.91$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.777953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d3bebacked Under48c141.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.471656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c135.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.211,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c126.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over57c119.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.399854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2787…ed8dbacked Over42c115.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c111.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c106.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6327354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.793638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5422453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0811253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3833949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under47c93.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5720647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Under48c91.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3610046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Over22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.067338.4%28 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c7…5b3bbacked Over37c86.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.075251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c86.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.823,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd7…e7a5backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c82.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Under48c82.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c82.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.721,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over54c82.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8424044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under47c81.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.048057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under23c80.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6931345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c79.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.471,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5c…41f3backed Over42c78.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.142454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under48c78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5626147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f52…51f9backed Over50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c74.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.761,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over57c73.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.843354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over55c69.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0923549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…54d1backed Over53c67.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.016654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.