NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f827d4c2470a502f9700c4970dae0cec63db34f7f666cd173b7b4d2b000ff64

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $713,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $743,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers	49c	257,356$126,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131,199.39	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Rockets	51c	151,806$78,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,148.39	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Lakers	51c	85,603$43,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,966.21	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Lakers	56c	74,025$41,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,571.21	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rockets	49c	61,200$29,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,988	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Rockets	51c	50,848$25,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,932.51	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers	49c	47,902$23,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,306.25	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Lakers	50c	32,431$16,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,215.71	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Rockets	50c	30,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets	51c	29,552$15,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,071.73	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Rockets	51c	28,261$14,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,413.09	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Rockets	51c	19,031$9,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,706	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Lakers	52c	11,800$6,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,663.77	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers	47c	10,390$4,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,506.61	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets	51c	9,516$4,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,853	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets	51c	9,516$4,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,853	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Rockets	9c	9,034$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.89	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets	49c	8,463$4,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,140.67	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Rockets	45c	7,573$3,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,433.57	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers	49c	7,533$3,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,842.02	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets	48c	7,513$3,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,641.33	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Rockets	46c	7,437$3,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,385.6	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	20c	7,342$1,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.08	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets	51c	5,886$3,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,001.94	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Rockets	45c	5,370$2,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,419.37	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers	49c	3,957$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,017.93	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Rockets	50c	3,941$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.01	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Lakers	49c	3,686$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,879.79	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438a…62e5backed Lakers	56c	3,128$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,378.24	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Rockets	51c	3,004$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,521.31	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Rockets	4c	3,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Rockets	51c	2,427$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.52	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers	49c	2,278$1,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.74	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Lakers	56c	2,093$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.03	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rockets	49c	2,082$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.31	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Rockets	11c	2,070$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.39	80	27.5%22 W · 58 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets	47c	2,013$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.16	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Rockets	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Lakers	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.99	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Rockets	51c	1,941$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.01	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Lakers	50c	1,940$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Rockets	51c	1,903$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.6	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rockets	44c	1,877$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.28	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Rockets	2c	1,875$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Rockets	50c	1,762$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.85	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers	56c	1,739$974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.97	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Rockets	45c	1,618$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.23	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers	49c	1,400$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.32	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets	22c	1,394$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.69	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Rockets	53c	1,317$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.9	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-12.7wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Lakers	51c	1,317$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.56	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Rockets	52c	1,307$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.84	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Rockets	2c	1,300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	55	1.8%1 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Lakers	49c	1,210$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.89	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Rockets	52c	1,190$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.83	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Lakers	50c	1,164$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Lakers	49c	1,118$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.84	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Rockets	44c	1,098$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.2	235	39.1%92 W · 143 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Rockets	45c	1,074$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.5	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets	48c	1,062$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.73	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Rockets	48c	1,021$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.54	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers	56c	1,013$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.68	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Rockets	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rockets	6c	963$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Lakers	63c	962.88$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.27	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Rockets	3c	950$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	0%0 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Rockets	3c	950$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Rockets	10c	903.4$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Lakers	55c	839.55$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.99	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Rockets	7c	824$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.03	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Lakers	50c	792.05$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.36	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Lakers	50c	773.09$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.55	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Rockets	51c	761.25$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.24	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Rockets	7c	750$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Rockets	9c	750$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Rockets	51c	696.55$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.24	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Rockets	7c	687$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	312	38.5%120 W · 192 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Rockets	48c	686.02$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.29	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Rockets	51c	666.1$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.71	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	50cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Rockets	50c	613$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.5	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Rockets	3c	600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x968f…5129backed Lakers	50c	591.7$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.85	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Rockets	33c	579.77$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.61	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Rockets	51c	579.22$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.4	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Lakers	62c	570.1$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.08	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Rockets	51c	560.32$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.76	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers	49c	551.77$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.97	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Rockets	52c	522.95$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.94	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Lakers	49c	513.9$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.38	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Rockets	51c	494.8$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.35	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Rockets	51c	485.3$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Rockets	45c	483.5$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.58	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Rockets	28c	471.56$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.71	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4245…a769backed Rockets	45c	464.16$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets	49c	463.38$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.42	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Rockets	50c	440.79$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.37	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Rockets	52c	439.83$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.86	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Lakers	50c	420.66$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.33	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a69…4483backed Lakers	50c	417.1$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.55	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event