NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe968cb0fe7fb848b2339284f4e69192db64df722639979d3095ed48d3d85d1b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 61c | 945.68$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Rockets | 41c | 827.12$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.93 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Lakers | 45c | 779.75$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.86 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 55c | 584.49$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.31 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Rockets | 23c | 546.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Rockets | 38c | 443.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Lakers | 67c | 441.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lakers | 51c | 403.62$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lakers | 67c | 346.03$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Rockets | 42c | 325.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rockets | 34c | 303.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 44c | 217.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Rockets | 56c | 216.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lakers | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Lakers | 72c | 173.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Lakers | 46c | 156.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Lakers | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Rockets | 47c | 149.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Rockets | 54c | 146.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers | 64c | 134.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Rockets | 55c | 133.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Rockets | 56c | 119.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Lakers | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Rockets | 66c | 97.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Rockets | 66c | 97.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Rockets | 66c | 97.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…9e37backed Rockets | 63c | 95.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Lakers | 53c | 93.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rockets | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Rockets | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Lakers | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Lakers | 53c | 64.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lakers | 49c | 63.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…f34ebacked Lakers | 46c | 53.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…dc29backed Rockets | 61c | 52.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Lakers | 80c | 48.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Rockets | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lakers | 53c | 43.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Lakers | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Lakers | 55c | 38.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Lakers | 63c | 35.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Lakers | 75c | 34.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Lakers | 41c | 30.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Rockets | 55c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Rockets | 46c | 23.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Rockets | 57c | 19.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…463bbacked Lakers | 67c | 19.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.