NBA · resolved market
Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb575e43a2492d85e47ecbde3f8b9a251d80e9484ff29b27e7d57da5e4a2a119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 40c | 2,998$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.08 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 62c | 1,096$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.41 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 59c | 1,043$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.51 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 42c | 919.91$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.07 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 41c | 653.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 58c | 612.61$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 58c | 592.45$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.83 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 59c | 502.79$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 61c | 400.19$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 60c | 372.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes | 41c | 327.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 58c | 302.52$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 60c | 247.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 41c | 243.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 37c | 229.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…e2b5backed No | 61c | 197.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes | 41c | 139.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Yes | 41c | 131.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Yes | 40c | 120.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 42c | 112.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 42c | 112.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 42c | 98.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…3c3bbacked Yes | 41c | 96.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 42c | 96.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 38c | 94.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed No | 58c | 91.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Yes | 42c | 85.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 58c | 83.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…cb87backed Yes | 41c | 64.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 59c | 56.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 58c | 54.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…2775backed No | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Yes | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed No | 61c | 45.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Yes | 39c | 45.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 58c | 36.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 245 | 66.9%164 W · 81 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 61c | 34.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 41c | 33.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 54c | 31.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…8c6dbacked Yes | 42c | 29.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed No | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 42c | 27.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 62c | 25.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked No | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed No | 61c | 25.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed No | 62c | 21.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed No | 59c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.