TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fb1…0073

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
312
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT14953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.43
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.42
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.1
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.06
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5939%23 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Francisco Lindor: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sandy Alcantara: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Reynaldo López: Strikeouts O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Ranger Suarez: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Willson Contreras: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ben Rice: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ryan Weathers: Strikeouts O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Manny Machado: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Shea Langeliers: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+400%+$100
Ben Rice: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ben Rice: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Shea Langeliers: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Juan Soto: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Gerrit Cole: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$30.24
Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.33
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Jonah Heim: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$735
Casey Mize: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Lucas Digne: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$83.7
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.83
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Panama vs. England: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.5
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.23
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.97
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midonbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Radu Albotbacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Magadan vs. Johns: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Hanfmann vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Croatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$12.47
Newport: Madison Brengle vs Kayla Crossbacked Madison Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Contrexeville: Lisa Pigato vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Rafael Jodar vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Wimbledon ATP: Patrick Kypson vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.26
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Dammbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donskibacked Khololwam Montsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Bengaluru 2: Christopher Papa vs Philip Sekulicbacked Christopher Papa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cagliari: Moez Echargui vs Cristian Garinbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.74
Keys vs. Bencic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Magomed Tuchalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$31.96
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ismael Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.14
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Damian Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Ikram Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.73
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.5
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.84
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Cam Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.85
All 25 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$52.75
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.62
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.31
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.62
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
New York Liberty vs. Washington Mysticsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+99.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$29.19
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.