TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca6…73e3backed Yes8c8,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+100.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No62c1,995$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7620948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.982259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5331526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes37c1,191$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.657240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No60c1,061$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.445750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No59c1,019$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.541471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No59c1,006$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.5510849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No59c1,000$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5912354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-67.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No60c733.56$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.434456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No62c650.78$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c599.98$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9943252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1139…7bf4backed Yes40c490$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No58c430.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.92055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce71…8aecbacked Yes48c413.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No60c407.42$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.973231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602450%12 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes41c342.86$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e0…6829backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes43c299.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.52812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No58c299.96$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.986443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Yes40c252.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004431.8%14 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yes40c245$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No58c244.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.357642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes44c236.63$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056152.5%32 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes43c234.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No51c219.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7811843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bb…11a4backed Yes42c191.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…9715backed Yes39c179.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No57c149.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.992365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes37c137.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.045433.3%18 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes38c128.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-82.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes22c125.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.613831.6%12 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes58c111.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes15c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No63c109.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.552147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No59c106.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.062657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd117…a188backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5035…72febacked Yes37c92.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Yes38c87.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No58c83.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.794447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb231…7a4ebacked No64c80.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…5ec9backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b4…7779backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c65.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4888631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fff…3d2ebacked Yes40c62.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No59c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.595646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3e9…bc06backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b8…41c9backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203860.5%23 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb36c…0e2fbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe285…5754backed Yes41c52.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…9136backed Yes38c52.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d05…f34dbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ae0…b143backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d1…b516backed Yes41c48.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-84.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked No63c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes41c46.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.248051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42b…c039backed Yes40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20a…d1fabacked Yes43c44.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No43c43.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+69.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes46c43.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No50c43.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.768847.7%42 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes37c40.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f4…2ccfbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa791…db2abacked Yes40c38.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed9…0e36backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No60c34.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8230656.9%174 W · 132 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5698…7252backed Yes40c32.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c3…b7a3backed Yes37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b6…ce9ebacked Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971e…840ebacked Yes43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111060%6 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+117.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Yes39c25.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8daa…ca69backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No58c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da9…f247backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No62c22.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked No59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.