Champions League · resolved market
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d394342f7de85ae76568497fa9d26339583d9d6ff472ef6b43d7c839ac82a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 59c | 1,778$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 61c | 1,485$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 599.97$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 56c | 541.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…01b4backed Yes | 43c | 432.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 58c | 423.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e0…6829backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 58c | 261.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 39c | 243.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 42c | 237.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 36c | 231.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 64c | 215.95$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…94d5backed Yes | 40c | 140.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…7a4ebacked No | 61c | 106.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…19a4backed Yes | 42c | 77.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…caf9backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…c5b7backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 40c | 62.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e93…2f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 59c | 57.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 54c | 55.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…4faebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…8227backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…9b39backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…7e23backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…3beebacked No | 58c | 31.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…c0ebbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…36abbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 29.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 27.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…f335backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 59c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Harry Kane: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Jamal Musiala: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.