TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x98c1…3d1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
259
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48%+$24.98
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$465.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$28.2
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.95
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.44
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.32
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.54
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.81
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$40.21
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.59
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$41.91
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.24
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$41.2
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.86
Egypt to score first vs. Australia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.74
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$21.1
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$76.98
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.92
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$39.69
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.01
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$74.6
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.49
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.6%+$9.74
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$41.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$61.31
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$50.92
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$105.12
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$54
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$18
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$32
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Lakers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.49
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.19
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$44.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.86
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$52.86
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.75
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.63
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.59
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$79.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.05
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.21
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.43
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+102%+$26.53
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.75
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$177.75
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.51
All 25 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.59
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$143.92
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed IFK Goteborg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Degerfors IF vs. IF Brommapojkarna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
AZ vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+83.1%+$9.15
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Will AZ win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
AFC Ajax vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.56
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to Advancebacked RSC Anderlecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.8
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.49
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$46
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$43.41
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49.96
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$39.15
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Brynaesbacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.6%+$23.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.