TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over52c61,699$32,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,083.0232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c20,901$10,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,861.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under48c19,683$9,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,235.221,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c3,868$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.4731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over46c3,353$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.420843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c2,796$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.871,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c2,796$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.8790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under48c2,796$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.8758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under48c2,796$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.8729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c2,136$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c2,075$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.5749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under48c1,923$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf197…6eb9backed Over53c1,861$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.334355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under48c1,413$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.6732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,027$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.261,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.35158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c949.42$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under48c807.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8136852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over52c747.08$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4813655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c593.27$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.571,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c526.06$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.243324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3611034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over51c355$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.056737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over52c306.3$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2827241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c285.92$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.212,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c279.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.281,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over52c274.74$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.868850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under25c240.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.132,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.776956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a85…4612backed Over53c198.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.951827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c197.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under76c196.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9733258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c193.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under65c186$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over53c177.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.19646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c164.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.971,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under67c164.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under55c155$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Under78c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c145.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c138.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.442,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over51c128.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3422047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c128.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c117.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.91,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4813052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under48c100.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4517748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c95.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5360346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Under59c95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.154835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over15c94.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d98…1e48backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.591566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c84.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under48c83.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under55c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3512637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under55c82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under23c80.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.841,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under49c75.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe9…43e6backed Over73c71.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under63c69.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over50c60.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over53c58.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe506…1bccbacked Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.148354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c55.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.021,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.152050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over56c54.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.313837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe847…b7e2backed Over53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over53c44.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Under48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.997642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3543…b9bcbacked Under48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.992450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9dd0backed Under48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Under48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.994858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4121952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c36.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.431,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472e…b2ccbacked Over51c36.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.661050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Under50c35.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde15…b1c5backed Under48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under49c29.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2941050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under48c29.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1159650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1516640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1523441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under48c26.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5915459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c24.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8326450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under48c24.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.538743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under48c23.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3623048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over51c23.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1313749.6%68 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c22.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Under48c21.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2122454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.