TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$477,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c5e…a114backed Pistons54c85,262$46,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,882.983554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons57c42,591$24,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,314.2836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers45c36,859$16,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,686.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed 76ers48c29,072$14,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,083.1736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers46c27,572$12,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,564.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers43c24,558$10,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,559.7966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons52c23,295$12,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,292.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed 76ers49c21,247$10,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,410.6815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Pistons50c9,817$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.721442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1df…cb3abacked 76ers47c9,498$4,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,464.0640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c01…1b91backed Pistons50c9,496$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,747.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers50c9,285$4,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,642.421,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons51c8,390$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,111.0337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons54c7,387$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.211,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons52c6,567$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.331,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons52c4,710$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.021,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons52c4,710$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.0290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers48c4,538$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons51c4,084$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.2258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Pistons50c3,900$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9507451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers48c3,754$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.132,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Pistons54c3,353$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.555655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed 76ers47c3,011$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.2214245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Pistons56c2,608$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.4614556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Pistons52c2,428$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.441850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked 76ers49c2,406$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.8431046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Pistons52c2,302$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.9522948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers47c2,250$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.4470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked 76ers45c2,149$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9677365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pistons51c2,086$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.2829849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e7…2f52backed Pistons50c2,060$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0301250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3c…e646backed 76ers50c2,037$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed 76ers48c1,881$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.771,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed 76ers49c1,850$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Pistons51c1,821$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Pistons55c1,810$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.43455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed 76ers49c1,627$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.3314959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pistons51c1,598$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Pistons55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.759550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed 76ers47c1,431$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5720051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Pistons52c1,099$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6865762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Pistons52c1,091$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.3450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed 76ers48c1,054$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9520647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 76ers39c1,040$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4720537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons65c1,001$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d6…b6e8backed Pistons55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed 76ers49c997.51$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pistons50c989.2$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Pistons55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0520651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked 76ers49c879.96$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0848152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked 76ers48c847.7$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.95839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons60c803.55$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed 76ers48c648.23$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons52c648.11$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.421,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers45c617.51$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Pistons50c545.32$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pistons53c538.48$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked 76ers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed 76ers50c471.68$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Pistons52c469.08$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pistons55c462.29$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.341,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pistons56c431.85$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0124247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Pistons51c431.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0711346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed 76ers3c420.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.736341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Pistons61c418.66$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4736949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pistons51c416.58$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed 76ers48c414.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed 76ers50c412$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Pistons51c387.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.714852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Pistons51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5132450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Pistons51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5135052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pistons51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers43c367.55$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons49c346.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pistons55c300.3$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.331,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pistons50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed 76ers48c290.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5119548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked 76ers48c290.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons53c266.85$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers40c248.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.081,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed 76ers46c237$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Pistons51c236.47$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons55c225$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers45c218$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.12,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Pistons52c211$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2817740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked 76ers46c208.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7928838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a2…af01backed 76ers47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2b…c1a3backed Pistons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Pistons54c199.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.591560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed 76ers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9728949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Pistons51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2511558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed 76ers51c152.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers46c146.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.931,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons51c142.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Pistons55c123.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4756050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Pistons51c114.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9516053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Pistons55c109.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Pistons54c102.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5838751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.