NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f8b0bb1f282bff28b56017b0951f4b044cb5f924c4e7992fb8f86e056f28be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7726…4627backed Over | 51c | 1,908$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,504$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Over | 50c | 1,311$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 49c | 1,178$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.15 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 51c | 449.14$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 4c | 313.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 262.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 49c | 233$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 171.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 171.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 136.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Over | 37c | 104.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 103.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…9df5backed Under | 49c | 101.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 99.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 50c | 95.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…d3bbbacked Under | 53c | 90.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 90.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 73.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 66.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 51c | 65.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Over | 49c | 65.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 49c | 63.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 56.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 54.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 62c | 53.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Over | 49c | 53.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 76c | 50.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 52c | 45.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…8b81backed Over | 50c | 44.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 39.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…df9abacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde15…b1c5backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 38.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 52c | 34.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 33.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 32.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…0485backed Under | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 29.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 52c | 23.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Under | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…9be0backed Over | 74c | 20.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 77c | 19.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Pistons vs. 76ersPistons won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.