TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e35…a3bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Golf, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 52 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.77
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.84
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.18
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$12.39
Will Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.44
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.39
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+225.3%+$45.85
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.77
Will Adam Steen win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+569%+$173.5
Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.59
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$26.22
Will Ryan Crosswell be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Lamont McClure be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$69.63
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$103.39
Will O'Higgins FC vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.23
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.84
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$2,449.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$114.3
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.49
Barletta: Kimmer Coppejans vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$102.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.88
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$190.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$251.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.