UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16d384d06a5ddfb447f1c88ae9ccee0e30c8807ab3f8c9cf30755be5ec3da0ad

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ethyn Ewingof Ethyn Ewing, Rafael Estevam
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $763,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,048,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,774 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Rafael Estevam	49c	226,543$110,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,300.39	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Ethyn Ewing	51c	164,365$83,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,535.09	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rafael Estevam	45c	48,327$21,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,939.45	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	23,060$12,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,380.55	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rafael Estevam	7c	23,024$1,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.77	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Rafael Estevam	13c	21,616$2,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,893.69	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	19,070$10,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,664.06	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Ethyn Ewing	52c	14,192$7,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,811.94	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Ethyn Ewing	51c	11,890$6,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,768.7	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	11,163$6,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,023.35	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Ethyn Ewing	53c	11,160$5,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,189.63	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ethyn Ewing	51c	10,147$5,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,971.9	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Rafael Estevam	30c	9,960$2,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,983.33	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ethyn Ewing	70c	9,233$6,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,771.19	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rafael Estevam	44c	8,931$3,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,953.88	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ethyn Ewing	51c	6,970$3,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,399.62	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Ethyn Ewing	53c	6,540$3,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,071.58	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rafael Estevam	6c	6,363$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.44	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked Ethyn Ewing	52c	5,851$3,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,808.57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Ethyn Ewing	51c	4,446$2,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,178.33	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Ethyn Ewing	52c	4,280$2,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,054.4	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Rafael Estevam	46c	4,209$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.17	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Ethyn Ewing	51c	4,127$2,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021.98	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfded…312cbacked Ethyn Ewing	54c	3,754$2,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.83	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…52c9backed Ethyn Ewing	56c	3,740$2,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Rafael Estevam	4c	3,591$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.67	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Ethyn Ewing	53c	3,246$1,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,527.67	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Ethyn Ewing	55c	3,237$1,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.44	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…e90fbacked Ethyn Ewing	63c	3,038$1,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.55	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Rafael Estevam	49c	2,845$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.83	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aab…9ae0backed Ethyn Ewing	56c	2,434$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.96	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x567d…68bfbacked Rafael Estevam	49c	2,196$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.04	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Rafael Estevam	45c	2,169$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.1	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Rafael Estevam	49c	2,137$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.14	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Rafael Estevam	42c	2,122$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.18	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Ethyn Ewing	53c	2,089$1,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+4.5wins	+0.26per pick	50cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Rafael Estevam	47c	2,022$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.33	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Rafael Estevam	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.98	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Ethyn Ewing	55c	1,769$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.09	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked Ethyn Ewing	52c	1,735$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.66	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rafael Estevam	3c	1,732$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.21	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rafael Estevam	44c	1,697$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.53	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e90…9b91backed Rafael Estevam	48c	1,610$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.77	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c68…6746backed Rafael Estevam	44c	1,588$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.38	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	1,482$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.09	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Ethyn Ewing	51c	1,400$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Rafael Estevam	46c	1,306$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.19	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Ethyn Ewing	57c	1,269$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.33	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ethyn Ewing	61c	1,244$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.01	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…68d7backed Ethyn Ewing	60c	1,220$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.7	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Rafael Estevam	47c	1,210$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.6	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…8abebacked Ethyn Ewing	56c	1,188$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.9	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	1,178$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Rafael Estevam	3c	1,127$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1f…49e6backed Ethyn Ewing	53c	1,100$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.81	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Rafael Estevam	35c	1,096$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.42	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca4…f852backed Rafael Estevam	40c	1,094$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.27	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Ethyn Ewing	53c	1,072$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.81	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f16…301ebacked Rafael Estevam	47c	1,004$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.01	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fff…b34ebacked Ethyn Ewing	55c	990.69$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.81	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Rafael Estevam	49c	989.18$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.7	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Ethyn Ewing	52c	979.83$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.32	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Rafael Estevam	46c	967.6$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.1	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Rafael Estevam	48c	948.62$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.34	117	35.9%42 W · 75 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Rafael Estevam	45c	901.06$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.29	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ethyn Ewing	77c	891.42$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.77	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Rafael Estevam	48c	878.67$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.61	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Rafael Estevam	13c	835$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.06	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Ethyn Ewing	63c	829.44$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.23	161	56.5%91 W · 70 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ethyn Ewing	51c	820$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.8	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Ethyn Ewing	52c	799.47$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.74	136	47.8%65 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	798.94$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.52	54	63%34 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Rafael Estevam	49c	790.54$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.36	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c3c…70cabacked Rafael Estevam	12c	789.33$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rafael Estevam	44c	788.62$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.31	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Rafael Estevam	49c	787.27$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.76	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Rafael Estevam	46c	774.08$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ethyn Ewing	73c	727.68$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.11	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Rafael Estevam	46c	718.05$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ethyn Ewing	52c	705.32$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.55	267	36%96 W · 171 L	-16.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Ethyn Ewing	54c	680.8$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.17	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Rafael Estevam	46c	643.91$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.37	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Rafael Estevam	8c	638.02$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.59	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Ethyn Ewing	78c	634.19$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.72	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ethyn Ewing	75c	614.23$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.32	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Ethyn Ewing	55c	589.11$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ethyn Ewing	67c	583.8$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.08	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Ethyn Ewing	55c	583.8$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.71	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Ethyn Ewing	52c	582.72$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.71	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae8…8260backed Ethyn Ewing	51c	570.94$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.76	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Rafael Estevam	42c	566.98$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.39	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rafael Estevam	44c	555$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.2	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02a…5fbdbacked Rafael Estevam	43c	534.72$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…62c7backed Rafael Estevam	48c	531.51$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f4…5b53backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	530.73$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.83	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Ethyn Ewing	53c	528.66$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.47	355	64.5%229 W · 126 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Ethyn Ewing	58c	502.07$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.87	49	81.6%40 W · 9 L	+10.4wins	+0.21per pick	60cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Rafael Estevam	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Ethyn Ewing	55c	499.99$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.99	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Ethyn Ewing	52c	492.4$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.35	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Ethyn Ewing win by KO or TKO?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event