TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ee7…6760

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT7343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$1,484.48
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Nikolay Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.13
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kody Steele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.27
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Joselyne Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$1,555.79
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$92.02
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.3
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$1,122.11
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mayra Bueno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$72.14
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Thiago Moises · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.11
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Julien LeBlanc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,853.64
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed JJ Aldrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$655.86
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$921.1
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.92
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.01
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,098.89
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+296.5%+$815.15
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Francisco Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.62
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.6
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.4
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.06
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.67
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.03
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Stewart Nicoll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.78
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,019.39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+643.8%+$8,394.18
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680.15
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,356.52
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,086.53
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$32.93
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,732.27
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$7,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,352.4
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$79.3
Murray State Racers vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$51.69
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$314.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$47.52
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$231.62
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$162
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Celje win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.