Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86968c3caae5c2bf08cdac54fb056254911637123708605cf6f3ca8c5e9acbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 46c | 4,043$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.4 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 47c | 2,073$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 43c | 1,565$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,395$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 46c | 1,363$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 636.93$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 55c | 411.7$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 54c | 366.05$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 270.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 19c | 242.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 24c | 232.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 46c | 213.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 164.02$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…2268backed Yes | 29c | 132.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 111.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 102.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 53c | 98.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 46c | 74.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 46c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 29c | 63.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 48c | 52.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 75c | 46.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 39.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 47c | 33.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.