Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eda0a70218e73a3d4db11bde2f84eec561e6ad9ad1d65dde91eb6bd32ef38c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 3,461$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 48c | 2,263$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 728.11$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed No | 54c | 552.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 507.89$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 425.15$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 295.83$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 256$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…70fdbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed No | 51c | 197.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 165.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa36…7ad3backed Yes | 21c | 82.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 20c | 81.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 41c | 53.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…656cbacked Yes | 26c | 49.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 41c | 40.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 47c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.