TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6894…3a44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$180.67
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$483.87
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$450.46
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$270.83
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+244.4%+$611.06
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$221.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$195.92
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$196.57
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$88.68
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+41.8%+$73.09
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$85.53
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$297.97
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$102.11
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+150%+$375
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+86.7%+$454.99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$456.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$434.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$138.22
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$222.73
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$99.68
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.95
Will St Mirren FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy Midshipmen vs. Boston Terriersbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+77.5%+$19.39
Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Drexel Dragons vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$37.71
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+54.2%+$94.85
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.6%+$109.06
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+169.2%+$266.41
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$263.23
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$75
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.2%+$181.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$68.85
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$86.1
Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$275
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$201.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,035.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.1%+$17.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.