TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Princeton Tigersof Vermont Catamounts, Princeton Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers51c7,668$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.115,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Vermont Catamounts64c4,062$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-61.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vermont Catamounts38c2,980$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.535,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Princeton Tigers52c2,748$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.3723158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Princeton Tigers69c2,492$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.6755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Vermont Catamounts46c2,302$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.312,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vermont Catamounts23c2,041$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.72,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Vermont Catamounts62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2402250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Princeton Tigers38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Vermont Catamounts28c1,979$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.973423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Vermont Catamounts47c1,183$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8911439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Vermont Catamounts61c1,144$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.042,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Princeton Tigers41c1,024$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.9616135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Princeton Tigers38c996.88$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.071,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Princeton Tigers59c934.81$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.811376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+48%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Vermont Catamounts32c777.87$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Princeton Tigers50c693.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.481,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Vermont Catamounts46c687.11$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.581,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a9…be15backed Vermont Catamounts47c640.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Vermont Catamounts59c631.05$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.41366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Princeton Tigers61c596.93$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.31,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f1…7212backed Vermont Catamounts21c550$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Princeton Tigers37c534.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5916051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Princeton Tigers70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed Princeton Tigers54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vermont Catamounts46c489$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.941,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Vermont Catamounts29c415.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12042327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Princeton Tigers50c399.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.724,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Vermont Catamounts26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Vermont Catamounts46c378.26$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Princeton Tigers38c346.38$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.761,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e50…8f81backed Vermont Catamounts27c328.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Vermont Catamounts20c302.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8512840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Vermont Catamounts48c296.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.317544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Vermont Catamounts36c283.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.712,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vermont Catamounts21c274.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.594,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Vermont Catamounts63c253.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Vermont Catamounts46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Princeton Tigers75c242.01$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0273549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Vermont Catamounts37c235.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Princeton Tigers38c218.26$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Princeton Tigers39c215.35$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3613219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Vermont Catamounts60c205$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vermont Catamounts23c172.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.751,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Vermont Catamounts63c139.68$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Vermont Catamounts57c138.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.063,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Vermont Catamounts22c136.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1538343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Vermont Catamounts56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.87864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Princeton Tigers45c129.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Princeton Tigers50c126.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.031957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Princeton Tigers45c119.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Princeton Tigers69c99.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.486767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Vermont Catamounts45c99.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Vermont Catamounts42c99.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8348051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed Princeton Tigers57c95.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.831560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Princeton Tigers42c88.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7132343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Vermont Catamounts42c83.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.968341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Vermont Catamounts61c77.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.421830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Vermont Catamounts66c76.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Princeton Tigers69c74.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.214652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vermont Catamounts39c73.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.451,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08dd…c471backed Vermont Catamounts46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e8…5394backed Vermont Catamounts54c65.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Vermont Catamounts24c55.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.259412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Vermont Catamounts61c53.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3819057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Princeton Tigers38c51.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5921535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Princeton Tigers75c45.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.444973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Vermont Catamounts59c44.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2625438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Vermont Catamounts59c43.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Vermont Catamounts35c42.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Princeton Tigers67c41.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7920051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e6…3363backed Princeton Tigers72c41.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79a3…8670backed Princeton Tigers78c38.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x008b…77dfbacked Princeton Tigers77c37.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Vermont Catamounts62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dfb…5240backed Vermont Catamounts62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb351…5f41backed Princeton Tigers57c31.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.671675%12 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Vermont Catamounts50c31.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.733857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Vermont Catamounts45c31.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Princeton Tigers50c30.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1315037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Vermont Catamounts46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Vermont Catamounts57c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5345953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Princeton Tigers65c28.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1419055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Princeton Tigers54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Vermont Catamounts53c27.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+72.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8716…5830backed Princeton Tigers44c25.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.074100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Vermont Catamounts63c23.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Vermont Catamounts60c20.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc6…9f75backed Princeton Tigers60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Vermont Catamounts60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.