TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xacd8…b9f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
264
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 62 out of 100; worst La Liga at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4542.2%19 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$28.87
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.71
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.59
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.42
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.29
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+113.2%+$16.7
Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100%+$24.78
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.53
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.84
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$10.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.53
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST4045%18 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.22
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+203%+$51.85
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.1
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.03
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.49
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.26
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.81
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.43
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+89.3%+$13.51
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.09
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$32.06
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.34
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25.19
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.47
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25.39
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$46.74
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$29.66
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$14.49
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.43
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.15
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.12
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.84
Browns vs. Bears: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.22
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Seahawks vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+94.1%+$16
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
49ers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Spread: BAL (-3.5)backed BAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: BAL (-7.5)backed DET · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$81.38
Spread: KC (-4.5)backed KC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+70.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+152.5%+$15.25
Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
Will Rangers win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.82
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.93
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.24
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$28.01
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$22
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$15.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+44.9%+$15.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$13.19
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+104.9%+$26.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.1%+$29.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.