Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203724b6732e51443876cb7d6f057885ae7d5f492693aa816e0961ea8afd9ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $881,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $950,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 42c | 241,565$100,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,690.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 41c | 229,292$94,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,009.58 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 59c | 203,289$119,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,834.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 59c | 123,435$72,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,205.52 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 59c | 65,376$38,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,924.87 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 58c | 55,526$32,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,320.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 38,408$14,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,187.59 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 59c | 37,303$21,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,427.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 60c | 27,214$16,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,902.08 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 41c | 23,456$9,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,616.8 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 42c | 20,000$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.99 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 41c | 19,873$8,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,147.92 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…d256backed Yes | 59c | 17,051$10,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 59c | 15,908$9,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,522.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 41c | 15,713$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.55 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 41c | 13,545$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553.37 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 30c | 12,312$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 63c | 11,439$7,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.43 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 8,577$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 25c | 8,008$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 59c | 7,100$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 41c | 6,100$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…7a40backed Yes | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 5,917$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.97 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Yes | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.85 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 41c | 4,921$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.46 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked No | 42c | 4,369$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Yes | 58c | 4,166$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 42c | 4,126$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.99 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,966$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 19c | 3,430$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.9 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 2c | 2,885$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Yes | 59c | 2,872$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 9c | 2,817$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 41c | 2,734$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.81 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 22c | 2,726$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.77 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 2,702$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.86 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…0bafbacked Yes | 60c | 2,587$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 39c | 2,428$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.14 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 41c | 1,998$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.17 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 17c | 1,918$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.57 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f713backed Yes | 59c | 1,691$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 3c | 1,622$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 26c | 1,427$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.92 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 39c | 1,270$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed No | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…8ed6backed Yes | 59c | 1,111$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 60c | 1,100$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…0d49backed Yes | 61c | 964.26$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 75c | 919.73$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…779fbacked Yes | 59c | 847.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 60c | 829.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 74c | 780$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 776.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 40c | 699.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 59c | 698.59$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.42 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 40c | 695.33$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 59c | 649$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked Yes | 77c | 647.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 59c | 633.9$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…0bddbacked Yes | 59c | 610$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…6157backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 59c | 593.41$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 60c | 557.44$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 29c | 555.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 8c | 504.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Yes | 60c | 485$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759a…5cccbacked Yes | 59c | 467$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 66c | 454.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…87ebbacked Yes | 58c | 434.66$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.