TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7245…f1c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,632.05
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,005.28
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$719.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,177.19
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.19
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.96
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,215
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.12
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+50.4%+$404.69
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.4
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,482.35
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,637Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,003.2
Will James Wood win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Mets vs. Royalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+74.5%+$1,708.26
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.8%+$802.48
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250.58
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$189.6
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$129.99
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$144
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$220
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$710
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$105
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$952
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,829Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,271
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,025
Panthers vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)backed Floriana FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.74
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,218.25
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)backed FK Borac Banja Luka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.99
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,025
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.75
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$599.87
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+46%+$229.96
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,012
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+86.6%+$270.22
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$870
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,475
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,274
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$605
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$116.16
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,055.99
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$998.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$1,225.36
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,456
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,425
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,172.41
Sumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposobacked Mudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$516
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,064.97
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyanbacked Petrosyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$997.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+111.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$728.57
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$496.72
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.71
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$590
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,079.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$999.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Europa League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$6,644.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,828Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+50.9%+$3,984.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$188.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$110.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,012
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$502.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Skybacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.