Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2966c6d8552f554b5e2783b416460c55f3f330f389751e8bc8d3af1d67646b43

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: PFK Levski Sofiaof PFK Levski Sofia, FK Borac Banja Luka
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,264 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	10c	15,529$1,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,608.71	376	49.5%186 W · 190 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PFK Levski Sofia	39c	3,474$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,118.87	467	41.5%194 W · 273 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.99	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed PFK Levski Sofia	47c	1,783$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.81	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-6.6wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed PFK Levski Sofia	51c	1,655$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.85	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed PFK Levski Sofia	76c	1,469$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.42	1,021	35.3%360 W · 661 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked PFK Levski Sofia	47c	1,236$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	54c	1,204$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed FK Borac Banja Luka	52c	1,031$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.18	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed FK Borac Banja Luka	54c	1,019$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed FK Borac Banja Luka	71c	843.54$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed PFK Levski Sofia	48c	777.16$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.05	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PFK Levski Sofia	49c	692.18$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.01	170	53.5%91 W · 79 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed PFK Levski Sofia	47c	617.02$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.02	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed PFK Levski Sofia	46c	567.42$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.4	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FK Borac Banja Luka	60c	469.68$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.61	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	52c	398.51$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.94	361	42.4%153 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed PFK Levski Sofia	64c	312.59$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.73	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	49c	306$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	403	50.9%205 W · 198 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FK Borac Banja Luka	49c	306$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	502	47.2%237 W · 265 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Borac Banja Luka	49c	306$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	607	48.4%294 W · 313 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PFK Levski Sofia	79c	303.61$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.94	328	43.6%143 W · 185 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked PFK Levski Sofia	47c	300$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	225	52%117 W · 108 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed FK Borac Banja Luka	55c	260.97$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.53	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	232.06$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.1	299	49.5%148 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed FK Borac Banja Luka	54c	207.85$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.24	432	52.3%226 W · 206 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed PFK Levski Sofia	49c	205.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.46	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked PFK Levski Sofia	36c	200$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4eb6backed FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed FK Borac Banja Luka	54c	198.2$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.03	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked FK Borac Banja Luka	54c	186$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed PFK Levski Sofia	47c	185$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	178.15$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.42	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed FK Borac Banja Luka	61c	154.72$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.71	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…32a1backed FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	141.51$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FK Borac Banja Luka	60c	136$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FK Borac Banja Luka	51c	125.35$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.47	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	107$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	119	37.8%45 W · 74 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed FK Borac Banja Luka	51c	101.67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	306	56.9%174 W · 132 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FK Borac Banja Luka	50c	98.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.02	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed PFK Levski Sofia	47c	95.53$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.32	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked PFK Levski Sofia	47c	89.15$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed PFK Levski Sofia	46c	80$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.1	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…b250backed PFK Levski Sofia	54c	77.78$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed PFK Levski Sofia	45c	74.01$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.71	358	60.6%217 W · 141 L	+21.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked PFK Levski Sofia	63c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed PFK Levski Sofia	47c	57.38$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.41	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed FK Borac Banja Luka	53c	49.68$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.11	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed FK Borac Banja Luka	50c	49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed PFK Levski Sofia	48c	41.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.37	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed FK Borac Banja Luka	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed FK Borac Banja Luka	50c	39.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	65c	38.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.23per pick	49cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	54c	33.61$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed FK Borac Banja Luka	54c	32.75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed FK Borac Banja Luka	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed PFK Levski Sofia	48c	29.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.17	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed FK Borac Banja Luka	52c	27.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	67c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed FK Borac Banja Luka	67c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked FK Borac Banja Luka	49c	24.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed PFK Levski Sofia	47c	23.87$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	633	46.3%293 W · 340 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf3…a901backed PFK Levski Sofia	47c	23.4$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed PFK Levski Sofia	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked PFK Levski Sofia	46c	21.81$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	381	42.8%163 W · 218 L	-22.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked FK Borac Banja Luka	75c	16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	73	63%46 W · 27 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)this page
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 0.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 1.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 0.5Over won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5Over won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 2.5Over won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5Over won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 4.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 5.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Over won
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event