Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12abb1597ec2acd7c6cb24a0168d2eb5e8599b5c1398e722e9219d50836bd9e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 1,760$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.59 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 1,196$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.02 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 56c | 722.89$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 65c | 400.12$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.87 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 399.46$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 24c | 396.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 387.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 46c | 384.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 54c | 375.91$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 33c | 363.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 29c | 343.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 26c | 309.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 38c | 223.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 190.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 15c | 186.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Under | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 74c | 170.55$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 10c | 152.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 12c | 151.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 142$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 140.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 119.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…f832backed Under | 14c | 102.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 32c | 95.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 44c | 93.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 75c | 82.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 34c | 58.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 52.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 25c | 43.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 57c | 42.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 39.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 57c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 49c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 55c | 21.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 2.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.