PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef2f8b40083067e4355b0b84ca66ded030a4523ab43385cfdb37e66d3d4d599

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,733 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	21c	5,011$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,962.49	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	70c	2,384$1,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657.91	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	77c	1,036$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.5	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	33c	896.95$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.74	450	42%189 W · 261 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	893.85$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.39	614	47.2%290 W · 324 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	75c	744$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.65	994	35%348 W · 646 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	10c	711.86$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.19	433	33.5%145 W · 288 L	-12.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	47c	693.68$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.2	881	37.7%332 W · 549 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	79c	613.86$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.95	313	42.5%133 W · 180 L	-15.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	79c	567.2$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.09	426	47.9%204 W · 222 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	54c	558.41$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.05	286	51%146 W · 140 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over	46c	459.18$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.47	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Under	55c	454.55$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over	67c	445.31$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.31	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	47c	323.51$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.46	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over	39c	322.94$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.27	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	36c	313.54$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.73	142	49.3%70 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	68c	266.56$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.06	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over	44c	249.61$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	54c	180$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.2	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	32c	176.56$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.06	179	36.9%66 W · 113 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	45c	160$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.6	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	53c	149.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.49	367	42.8%157 W · 210 L	-22.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	40c	147.81$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.81	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	36c	141$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.92	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	27c	124.41$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.55	704	35.8%252 W · 452 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	54c	120.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.81	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	47c	119.85$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.52	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	47c	112.77$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.77	224	52.2%117 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	55c	109.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	631	50.2%317 W · 314 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…c118backed Under	54c	106.96$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	58cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	72c	94.32$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.76	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	46c	93.62$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	875	31.1%272 W · 603 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	33c	90$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over	46c	86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.44	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e69…2650backed Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under	54c	76.67$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	47c	71.95$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.11	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc59c…6b58backed Over	47c	70.21$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.21	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+128.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	75c	50.1$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.52	80	67.5%54 W · 26 L	+12.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	47c	48.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.96	147	42.9%63 W · 84 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	46c	48.73$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.31	294	45.9%135 W · 159 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	33c	45.45$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	53c	43.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf657…dad7backed Under	71c	39.44$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	46c	39.13$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.13	210	43.8%92 W · 118 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	54c	36.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under	51c	31.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	54c	30.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	358	60.6%217 W · 141 L	+21.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under	75c	29.93$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.23per pick	49cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Under	79c	28.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	74c	25.87$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	76	60.5%46 W · 30 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	70c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	61c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.81	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	69c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over	46c	23.91$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.91	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+58%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16f5…c651backed Under	55c	18.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under	68c	17.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under	80c	16$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	73	63%46 W · 27 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 2.5this page
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 0.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 1.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 0.5Over won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5Over won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5Over won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 4.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 5.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Over won
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event