TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd1f…3b4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$273.66
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$97.09
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$493.61
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.25
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$532.63
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.78
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.14
Norway vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$289.91
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$76.15
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$285
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$92.98
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$207.78
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.94
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$419
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$800
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-77%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.52
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$161.19
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.2
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.14
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.41
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.51
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Barcelonabacked Basquet Club Andorra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.27
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,640.46
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$14.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.11
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$113.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$369.96
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5)backed Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$533.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$55.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GAIS win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.