Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bad39ce08976a6c5d379dbda5f756af65f17a3d3749240037f858b69023cc6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 25c | 19,978$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,983.48 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 75c | 4,552$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414 | 215 | 40%86 W · 129 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…67bcbacked Under | 75c | 3,744$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Under | 75c | 3,404$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.37 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 20c | 2,557$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.63 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 80c | 2,413$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.52 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Under | 75c | 2,159$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Under | 75c | 1,764$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 51c | 1,544$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.71 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 75c | 1,174$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.5 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Under | 75c | 1,164$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 75c | 794.8$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked Under | 75c | 789.27$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Under | 75c | 658.67$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -5.0wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 77c | 533.14$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 74c | 482.69$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.19 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 80c | 411.63$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 60c | 407.27$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.36 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 24c | 359.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 43c | 285.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked Under | 75c | 237.6$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 74c | 202.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed Under | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 381 | 48%183 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 14c | 153.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 213 | 44.6%95 W · 118 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…6834backed Over | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 75c | 90.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…2f7fbacked Under | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 38c | 82.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 22c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 33c | 57.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 43.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Under | 75c | 38.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 34.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 56c | 24.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.