Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1bb30f2cb46e1656fdde56b636e8845dc09e84e221d6df96fd4bfb88d66f726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Shifters, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $455,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8718…5040backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 24,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Shifters | 20c | 20,951$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.92 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Shifters | 26c | 15,753$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.59 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Shifters | 31c | 15,299$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 12,738$8,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.11 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 10,121$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.62 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Shifters | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 7,748$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.77 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Shifters | 29c | 6,923$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…f3aabacked Shifters | 19c | 6,827$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shifters | 20c | 5,663$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.38 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Shifters | 18c | 5,637$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Shifters | 19c | 5,556$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.55 | 513 | 48%246 W · 267 L | +25.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 5,083$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.72 | 633 | 44.5%282 W · 351 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Shifters | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Shifters | 21c | 4,761$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shifters | 31c | 4,467$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.02 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shifters | 21c | 4,180$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.05 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 14c | 3,542$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.65 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…a3e0backed Shifters | 30c | 3,512$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 3,385$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.01 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 3,365$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.93 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shifters | 32c | 3,138$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shifters | 16c | 3,085$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.51 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Shifters | 33c | 2,992$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.62 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 2,986$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.77 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 2,947$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.29 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 2,877$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.46 | 273 | 67%183 W · 90 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 2,676$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.21 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Shifters | 11c | 2,675$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.29 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 2,632$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.78 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 2,618$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.55 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Shifters | 12c | 2,550$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.01 | 403 | 37.7%152 W · 251 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Shifters | 19c | 2,500$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.22 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Shifters | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shifters | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.96 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Shifters | 23c | 2,312$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.87 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 2,295$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.6 | 356 | 47.5%169 W · 187 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Shifters | 17c | 2,233$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Shifters | 1c | 2,173$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Shifters | 26c | 2,168$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.81 | 532 | 55.1%293 W · 239 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Shifters | 17c | 2,083$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.89 | 383 | 39.7%152 W · 231 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Shifters | 35c | 2,048$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.76 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Shifters | 22c | 2,047$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 2,033$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.22 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 2,024$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.32 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Shifters | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shifters | 22c | 1,802$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 1,049 | 46%483 W · 566 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Shifters | 23c | 1,732$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Shifters | 30c | 1,700$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,667$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.33 | 320 | 45.6%146 W · 174 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 1,665$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Shifters | 21c | 1,653$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.25 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Shifters | 31c | 1,606$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Shifters | 32c | 1,590$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Shifters | 17c | 1,571$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 1,021 | 48%490 W · 531 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Shifters | 19c | 1,565$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…18f2backed Shifters | 22c | 1,545$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.76 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +14.8wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,507$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.66 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Shifters | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…0445backed Shifters | 17c | 1,476$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed Shifters | 23c | 1,392$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.94 | 146 | 23.3%34 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…6ec2backed Shifters | 20c | 1,367$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Shifters | 20c | 1,302$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Shifters | 18c | 1,301$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 241 | 37.8%91 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Shifters | 12c | 1,300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,283$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.47 | 776 | 41.6%323 W · 453 L | -27.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Shifters | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Shifters | 20c | 1,229$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…2025backed Shifters | 20c | 1,137$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Shifters | 20c | 1,130$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Shifters | 17c | 1,119$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,117$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.9 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 1,107$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 1,100$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Shifters | 29c | 1,100$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,079$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…2f7fbacked Shifters | 20c | 1,056$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Shifters | 20c | 1,036$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 345 | 58.3%201 W · 144 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,010$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…85d5backed Shifters | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…e6f5backed Shifters | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Shifters | 22c | 899.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 353 | 55.8%197 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Shifters | 18c | 898$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Shifters | 34c | 856.8$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.61 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 806.12$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Shifters | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…6b3abacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…b9efbacked Shifters | 11c | 795.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 252 | 41.3%104 W · 148 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 781.78$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Shifters | 29c | 777$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Shifters | 24c | 736$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 724.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 772 | 46.2%357 W · 415 L | +18.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed Shifters | 33c | 716.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 700.88$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 274 | 46%126 W · 148 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shifters | 18c | 692$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 849 | 42.5%361 W · 488 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Shifters | 23c | 680.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 675.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 214 | 58.9%126 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.