Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda4745545589d13d73a5899f9eb8a06b0b5a2b04296f2a34bc33b069ed7d64c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Shifters, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Karmine Corp | 0c | 35,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Shifters | 8c | 23,074$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,147.95 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Shifters | 8c | 8,627$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,918.35 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Shifters | 38c | 7,837$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.56 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Shifters | 38c | 7,801$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.31 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…5ad0backed Shifters | 42c | 7,000$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.61 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 6c | 6,506$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 6,292$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.69 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Shifters | 1c | 5,027$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.55 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 4,872$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.13 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shifters | 15c | 4,506$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.78 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 4,430$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -17.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Shifters | 17c | 4,112$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.17 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 4,084$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.84 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Shifters | 51c | 4,066$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.92 | 513 | 48%246 W · 267 L | +25.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Shifters | 8c | 3,985$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.24 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Shifters | 43c | 3,570$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.9 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Shifters | 76c | 3,513$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.44 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Shifters | 51c | 3,469$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.52 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Shifters | 12c | 3,450$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.39 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Shifters | 16c | 3,243$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.78 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…d4dcbacked Shifters | 1c | 3,200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.99 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +331.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Shifters | 46c | 3,070$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.76 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Shifters | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Shifters | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.97 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.97 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 2,727$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.66 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shifters | 13c | 2,435$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.94 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Shifters | 14c | 2,393$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.75 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Shifters | 8c | 2,392$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.68 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shifters | 19c | 2,350$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.57 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…02d0backed Shifters | 14c | 2,255$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.41 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…b9efbacked Karmine Corp | 11c | 2,191$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.77 | 252 | 41.3%104 W · 148 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…0445backed Shifters | 26c | 2,148$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Shifters | 15c | 2,139$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.04 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 2,000$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.99 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 1,966$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.16 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 1,944$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.66 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…96adbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 1,817$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 1,777$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.44 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,765$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.84 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,665$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.02 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 1,615$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.04 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…f3aabacked Shifters | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.46 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Shifters | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Shifters | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 1,442$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.41 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Shifters | 30c | 1,421$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.89 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shifters | 4c | 1,361$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.91 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Shifters | 13c | 1,311$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.41 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Shifters | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Shifters | 15c | 1,174$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.87 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shifters | 44c | 1,171$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.89 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shifters | 28c | 1,116$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.36 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 1,115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 342 | 37.7%129 W · 213 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Shifters | 10c | 1,096$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.4 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 1,086$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Shifters | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.07 | 214 | 58.9%126 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,009$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.16 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…d547backed Shifters | 13c | 1,001$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.15 | 190 | 54.2%103 W · 87 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Shifters | 14c | 993.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.83 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Shifters | 6c | 972.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.92 | 484 | 38%184 W · 300 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Shifters | 7c | 951.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.2 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Shifters | 38c | 936.08$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.14 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 887.53$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.28 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Shifters | 2c | 866$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.68 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Shifters | 5c | 850$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.5 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 847.15$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.32 | 166 | 62.7%104 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 794.79$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.81 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 783.67$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.01 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 781.41$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shifters | 3c | 780.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.68 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 739.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.55 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 723.25$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.73 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 705.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 699.99$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.1 | 694 | 42.1%292 W · 402 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 690$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.13 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Shifters | 26c | 673.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Shifters | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 666.05$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.54 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…98cdbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.8 | 356 | 56.2%200 W · 156 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 599.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shifters | 2c | 597$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.23 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Shifters | 47c | 591.45$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.27 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…08a5backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 588.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Shifters | 34c | 585.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.05 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +17.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 570.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 537.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 521.73$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…3ce0backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 502.46$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 149 | 11.4%17 W · 132 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Shifters | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 390 | 48.2%188 W · 202 L | +26.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Karmine Corp | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 465.77$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.33 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 459$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…4f96backed Shifters | 47c | 457.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.41 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 453.48$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.39 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.