TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x797b…26d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10150.5%51 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.39
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffsbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$33.75
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$393.33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+179.5%+$376.96
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$72.38
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.31
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.73
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$297.31
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$195.24
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.75
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$195.49
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$81.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$254
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$134.91
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.85
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.99
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$279.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+75%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$146.89
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$232.94
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.28
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.31
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$127.5
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$120
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$165.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.