Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382416804a936a04486d564c2190d151e766a72378a545d52afd942b9889e3e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DYNASTYof DYNASTY, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed DYNASTY | 56c | 34,696$19,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,419.1 | 151 | 25.8%39 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Inner Circle | 53c | 21,067$11,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,079.78 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Inner Circle | 49c | 15,000$7,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,322.09 | 480 | 46.5%223 W · 257 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 14,966$8,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,224.28 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Inner Circle | 66c | 9,815$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,503.18 | 809 | 55.9%452 W · 357 L | +21.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked DYNASTY | 68c | 8,763$5,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.44 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Inner Circle | 57c | 5,604$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Inner Circle | 49c | 5,472$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.65 | 486 | 50.8%247 W · 239 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed DYNASTY | 62c | 5,130$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.18 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed DYNASTY | 74c | 4,511$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.26 | 486 | 57.4%279 W · 207 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed DYNASTY | 67c | 4,060$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.92 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked DYNASTY | 39c | 3,448$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.44 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed DYNASTY | 43c | 3,366$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.84 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed DYNASTY | 42c | 3,304$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.66 | 482 | 49.2%237 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Inner Circle | 1c | 3,296$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 343 | 2.9%10 W · 333 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…210bbacked DYNASTY | 39c | 3,220$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked DYNASTY | 22c | 3,023$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.57 | 704 | 35.4%249 W · 455 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Inner Circle | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed DYNASTY | 34c | 2,688$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked DYNASTY | 37c | 2,672$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.17 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Inner Circle | 67c | 2,608$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.59 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked DYNASTY | 69c | 2,596$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.15 | 371 | 60.4%224 W · 147 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Inner Circle | 41c | 2,581$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.46 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Inner Circle | 54c | 2,267$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.28 | 417 | 55.6%232 W · 185 L | +42.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DYNASTY | 28c | 2,221$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.39 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DYNASTY | 46c | 2,213$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.67 | 797 | 41.9%334 W · 463 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DYNASTY | 48c | 2,068$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.71 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Inner Circle | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.29 | 621 | 55.9%347 W · 274 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed DYNASTY | 42c | 1,794$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.7 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Inner Circle | 3c | 1,750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 1,684$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.02 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed DYNASTY | 46c | 1,683$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.2 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed DYNASTY | 32c | 1,682$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.85 | 1,250 | 44.4%555 W · 695 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked DYNASTY | 40c | 1,665$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 927 | 56.5%524 W · 403 L | +79.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Inner Circle | 48c | 1,656$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Inner Circle | 3c | 1,613$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Inner Circle | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed DYNASTY | 44c | 1,600$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed DYNASTY | 44c | 1,562$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.73 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed DYNASTY | 60c | 1,558$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.48 | 515 | 48.9%252 W · 263 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked DYNASTY | 27c | 1,506$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.81 | 209 | 28.2%59 W · 150 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DYNASTY | 37c | 1,500$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941 | 925 | 53.6%496 W · 429 L | +51.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Inner Circle | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 498 | 54.8%273 W · 225 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…3458backed DYNASTY | 32c | 1,405$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked DYNASTY | 32c | 1,388$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.5 | 216 | 60.6%131 W · 85 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked DYNASTY | 76c | 1,377$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 130 | 64.6%84 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked DYNASTY | 32c | 1,344$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.21 | 322 | 37.3%120 W · 202 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Inner Circle | 77c | 1,322$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Inner Circle | 59c | 1,293$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.42 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Inner Circle | 49c | 1,274$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.93 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DYNASTY | 61c | 1,200$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.05 | 1,158 | 47.7%552 W · 606 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…57cfbacked DYNASTY | 55c | 1,014$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked DYNASTY | 44c | 1,002$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 198 | 35.9%71 W · 127 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed DYNASTY | 45c | 1,000$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Inner Circle | 43c | 1,000$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.2 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked DYNASTY | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.11 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed DYNASTY | 76c | 926.89$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…d3f0backed DYNASTY | 27c | 925.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed DYNASTY | 27c | 925.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 886.3$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.87 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…dd8ebacked DYNASTY | 51c | 824.71$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked DYNASTY | 58c | 790.29$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.63 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle | 4c | 766.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 707 | 52.5%371 W · 336 L | +48.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked Inner Circle | 77c | 753.21$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Inner Circle | 4c | 749.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Inner Circle | 78c | 716.46$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.94 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed DYNASTY | 48c | 712.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.7 | 387 | 32.8%127 W · 260 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked DYNASTY | 55c | 695.06$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.74 | 446 | 49.6%221 W · 225 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked DYNASTY | 66c | 684.63$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Inner Circle | 77c | 671$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.67 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Inner Circle | 57c | 666$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed DYNASTY | 31c | 655.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed DYNASTY | 66c | 640.77$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked DYNASTY | 50c | 552.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.82 | 575 | 45.2%260 W · 315 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 521.35$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…aa9fbacked DYNASTY | 42c | 505.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked DYNASTY | 40c | 501.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…1404backed Inner Circle | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 491.87$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.42 | 254 | 46.9%119 W · 135 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked DYNASTY | 51c | 489.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Inner Circle | 56c | 485.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Inner Circle | 61c | 483.81$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Inner Circle | 67c | 446.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed DYNASTY | 39c | 443.37$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed DYNASTY | 40c | 440.06$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…dc59backed DYNASTY | 42c | 436.3$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 420$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…af03backed DYNASTY | 27c | 419.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Inner Circle | 64c | 415.81$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed DYNASTY | 45c | 404$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…9b8fbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 403.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…37d1backed DYNASTY | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed DYNASTY | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed DYNASTY | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed DYNASTY | 28c | 394.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 1,270 | 49.6%630 W · 640 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed Inner Circle | 44c | 372.55$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…df99backed DYNASTY | 48c | 370.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Inner Circle | 75c | 369.87$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Inner Circle | 41c | 369.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Inner Circle | 8c | 366.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerDYNASTY won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.