Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a979e325e570468da8b036aa61802920e68096c34d1d4355c38ba80a71a67f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DYNASTYof DYNASTY, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 22,908$11,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,549.31 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle | 44c | 12,914$5,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.65 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed DYNASTY | 51c | 11,604$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed DYNASTY | 53c | 8,258$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.29 | 151 | 25.8%39 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked DYNASTY | 37c | 5,433$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.94 | 541 | 51.8%280 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked DYNASTY | 54c | 3,897$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.36 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked DYNASTY | 51c | 3,811$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.95 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed DYNASTY | 52c | 3,805$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.93 | 482 | 49.2%237 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked DYNASTY | 53c | 3,333$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.44 | 371 | 60.4%224 W · 147 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Inner Circle | 46c | 3,325$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.56 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked DYNASTY | 62c | 2,413$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.28 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Inner Circle | 60c | 1,839$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Inner Circle | 20c | 1,827$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.14 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -15.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Inner Circle | 41c | 1,676$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.54 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Inner Circle | 42c | 1,523$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.17 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 1,307$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.37 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Inner Circle | 30c | 1,291$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 333 | 41.1%137 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed DYNASTY | 66c | 1,022$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | +14.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Inner Circle | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked DYNASTY | 53c | 977.01$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.45 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed DYNASTY | 54c | 879.59$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.1 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Inner Circle | 66c | 870.1$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.27 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…7f23backed DYNASTY | 56c | 780$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.04 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inner Circle | 43c | 716.45$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.57 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed DYNASTY | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed DYNASTY | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed DYNASTY | 50c | 606$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 360 | 37.5%135 W · 225 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed DYNASTY | 61c | 586.82$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed DYNASTY | 56c | 520$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Inner Circle | 63c | 405.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Inner Circle | 49c | 398.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Inner Circle | 37c | 370.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +19.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed DYNASTY | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DYNASTY | 56c | 328.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…4d40backed Inner Circle | 44c | 309.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked DYNASTY | 69c | 309.28$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked DYNASTY | 56c | 304.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Inner Circle | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 441 | 38.5%170 W · 271 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Inner Circle | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed DYNASTY | 41c | 289.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed DYNASTY | 51c | 286.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Inner Circle | 69c | 286.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed DYNASTY | 52c | 270.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed DYNASTY | 50c | 233.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Inner Circle | 70c | 228$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked DYNASTY | 60c | 214$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Inner Circle | 69c | 213.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 212.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DYNASTY | 60c | 200.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed DYNASTY | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed DYNASTY | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…dc59backed DYNASTY | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…b477backed DYNASTY | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…9369backed DYNASTY | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed DYNASTY | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 62c | 187.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DYNASTY | 40c | 182.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DYNASTY | 53c | 174.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 925 | 53.6%496 W · 429 L | +51.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed DYNASTY | 52c | 174.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 219 | 47%103 W · 116 L | +16.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 167.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Inner Circle | 40c | 162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked DYNASTY | 50c | 155.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 198 | 35.9%71 W · 127 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked DYNASTY | 51c | 153.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed DYNASTY | 36c | 151.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DYNASTY | 51c | 150.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DYNASTY | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…d0fcbacked DYNASTY | 69c | 129.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Inner Circle | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle | 48c | 116$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 1,158 | 47.7%552 W · 606 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f754backed DYNASTY | 54c | 114.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed DYNASTY | 52c | 111.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked DYNASTY | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…f280backed DYNASTY | 38c | 104.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked Inner Circle | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed DYNASTY | 30c | 91.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 252 | 37.7%95 W · 157 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked DYNASTY | 42c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…24d9backed Inner Circle | 56c | 84.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed DYNASTY | 66c | 84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DYNASTY | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e5…e9e7backed Inner Circle | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 69.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f923backed Inner Circle | 53c | 66.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Inner Circle | 43c | 63.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked DYNASTY | 56c | 53.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Inner Circle | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -14.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed DYNASTY | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked DYNASTY | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed DYNASTY | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed DYNASTY | 45c | 49.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed Inner Circle | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed DYNASTY | 45c | 45.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…66ebbacked DYNASTY | 52c | 42.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed Inner Circle | 70c | 41.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed DYNASTY | 33c | 41.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Inner Circle | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DYNASTY | 61c | 39.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed DYNASTY | 50c | 38.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 295 | 50.5%149 W · 146 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…92c5backed DYNASTY | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ADYNASTY won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.