Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b021806b0658db6815617eddfed41cf85080621f18d37b1c8a7bb18e59dd9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof DYNASTY, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed DYNASTY | 47c | 50,000$23,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,749.93 | 480 | 46.5%223 W · 257 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Inner Circle | 48c | 13,487$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Inner Circle | 45c | 11,827$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.12 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +19.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Inner Circle | 56c | 9,009$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.86 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked DYNASTY | 46c | 8,376$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.27 | 809 | 55.9%452 W · 357 L | +21.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 8,314$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.18 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked DYNASTY | 56c | 7,644$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.45 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed Inner Circle | 75c | 6,757$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Inner Circle | 53c | 5,395$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.99 | 482 | 49.2%237 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Inner Circle | 71c | 3,897$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.84 | 486 | 57.4%279 W · 207 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle | 52c | 3,261$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.28 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | +14.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 49c | 3,157$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.52 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Inner Circle | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle | 57c | 2,543$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.04 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Inner Circle | 60c | 2,395$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.98 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Inner Circle | 61c | 2,320$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.14 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 2,152$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.7 | 1,525 | 38%579 W · 946 L | -56.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Inner Circle | 76c | 2,137$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.96 | 371 | 60.4%224 W · 147 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 2,135$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.78 | 130 | 64.6%84 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed DYNASTY | 46c | 2,089$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 333 | 41.1%137 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed DYNASTY | 48c | 1,927$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked DYNASTY | 56c | 1,574$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.1 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed DYNASTY | 52c | 1,500$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.94 | 498 | 54.8%273 W · 225 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed Inner Circle | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed DYNASTY | 1c | 1,311$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 343 | 2.9%10 W · 333 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 1,297$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.87 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 49c | 1,259$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.41 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…7f23backed DYNASTY | 32c | 1,200$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.73 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 1,151$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.59 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed Inner Circle | 65c | 1,141$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Inner Circle | 51c | 1,114$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.57 | 216 | 60.6%131 W · 85 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed DYNASTY | 56c | 1,078$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Inner Circle | 44c | 1,067$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.77 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Inner Circle | 75c | 1,026$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 545 | 59.3%323 W · 222 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…57cfbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 999$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 973.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.47 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 963.77$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.72 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 64c | 951.42$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.51 | 941 | 46.3%436 W · 505 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 939.98$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.99 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked DYNASTY | 51c | 898.98$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.49 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked DYNASTY | 51c | 873.2$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.21 | 621 | 55.9%347 W · 274 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Inner Circle | 58c | 868.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 852.55$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.41 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed DYNASTY | 52c | 799.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…210bbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 761.73$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Inner Circle | 44c | 755$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.8 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Inner Circle | 66c | 714.44$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DYNASTY | 56c | 705$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed DYNASTY | 27c | 671.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 632.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.59 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed Inner Circle | 44c | 630$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed DYNASTY | 24c | 599.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Inner Circle | 44c | 563.21$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Inner Circle | 48c | 525.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.53 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0bd8backed Inner Circle | 5c | 509.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Inner Circle | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed DYNASTY | 54c | 499.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked DYNASTY | 59c | 499.92$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.95 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Inner Circle | 5c | 490$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked Inner Circle | 54c | 476.16$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Inner Circle | 55c | 464.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Inner Circle | 46c | 460$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Inner Circle | 59c | 453.22$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 591 | 46.9%277 W · 314 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…9b8fbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 450.88$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Inner Circle | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 228 | 39.5%90 W · 138 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed DYNASTY | 60c | 410$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.74 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Inner Circle | 54c | 398$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Inner Circle | 63c | 318.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Inner Circle | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed DYNASTY | 31c | 285.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Inner Circle | 57c | 280.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Inner Circle | 54c | 280.18$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Inner Circle | 78c | 276.92$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Inner Circle | 47c | 263.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 198 | 35.9%71 W · 127 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Inner Circle | 52c | 260.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 43c | 247.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed DYNASTY | 43c | 241.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Inner Circle | 55c | 233.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 53c | 229.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed DYNASTY | 55c | 229.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 227.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Inner Circle | 54c | 224.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle | 44c | 219.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 360 | 37.5%135 W · 225 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f754backed Inner Circle | 34c | 214.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Inner Circle | 53c | 212.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed DYNASTY | 52c | 205$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…9369backed Inner Circle | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Inner Circle | 73c | 194.34$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked DYNASTY | 27c | 194.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 575 | 45.2%260 W · 315 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Inner Circle | 44c | 192.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Inner Circle | 37c | 190.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Inner Circle | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…b477backed Inner Circle | 60c | 188.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 52c | 183.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed DYNASTY | 56c | 175.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked Inner Circle | 34c | 171.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 170.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 545 | 38.5%210 W · 335 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 160$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…783cbacked Inner Circle | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ADYNASTY won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerDYNASTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.