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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circleof DYNASTY, Inner Circle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed DYNASTY47c50,000$23,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,749.9348046.5%223 W · 257 L+27.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…8c87backed Inner Circle48c13,487$6,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,043.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Inner Circle45c11,827$5,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,553.1221856%122 W · 96 L+19.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Inner Circle56c9,009$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.867979.7%63 W · 16 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked DYNASTY46c8,376$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.2780955.9%452 W · 357 L+21.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Inner Circle55c8,314$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.1810746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked DYNASTY56c7,644$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,280.4590741.2%374 W · 533 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb4…74c5backed Inner Circle75c6,757$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Inner Circle53c5,395$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.9948249.2%237 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Inner Circle71c3,897$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.8448657.4%279 W · 207 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle52c3,261$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.2827351.6%141 W · 132 L+14.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle49c3,157$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.5270433.1%233 W · 471 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Inner Circle1c2,600$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+426.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle57c2,543$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.0490638.4%348 W · 558 L-40.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e9…2eeabacked Inner Circle60c2,395$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.987367.1%49 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed Inner Circle61c2,320$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.146759.7%40 W · 27 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle47c2,152$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.71,52538%579 W · 946 L-56.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Inner Circle76c2,137$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.9637160.4%224 W · 147 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Inner Circle79c2,135$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.7813064.6%84 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed DYNASTY46c2,089$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95233341.1%137 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed DYNASTY48c1,927$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92912058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked DYNASTY56c1,574$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.11,20759.3%716 W · 491 L+64.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed DYNASTY52c1,500$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.9449854.8%273 W · 225 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4858…3dd3backed Inner Circle60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed DYNASTY1c1,311$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.793432.9%10 W · 333 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Inner Circle45c1,297$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.8732849.4%162 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle49c1,259$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.4197042.2%409 W · 561 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…7f23backed DYNASTY32c1,200$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.733455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle33c1,151$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.5968847.4%326 W · 362 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb26f…9536backed Inner Circle65c1,141$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.391050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Inner Circle51c1,114$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.5721660.6%131 W · 85 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed DYNASTY56c1,078$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9918851.6%97 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Inner Circle44c1,067$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.7718349.7%91 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Inner Circle75c1,026$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6554559.3%323 W · 222 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5bc…57cfbacked Inner Circle55c999$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked Inner Circle50c973.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.4713548.1%65 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle63c963.77$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7291138.2%348 W · 563 L-45.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle64c951.42$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5194146.3%436 W · 505 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Inner Circle45c939.98$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.9913544.4%60 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked DYNASTY51c898.98$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.497254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked DYNASTY51c873.2$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2162155.9%347 W · 274 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Inner Circle58c868.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.610855.6%60 W · 48 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Inner Circle47c852.55$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4110742.1%45 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed DYNASTY52c799.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9926653.8%143 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d70…210bbacked Inner Circle60c761.73$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.92157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Inner Circle44c755$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.810945%49 W · 60 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf072…d897backed Inner Circle66c714.44$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.212948.1%62 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DYNASTY56c705$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0443546.7%203 W · 232 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed DYNASTY27c671.56$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.844438.7%172 W · 272 L-43.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86ee…ef1fbacked Inner Circle63c632.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.597965.8%52 W · 27 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec1…9a95backed Inner Circle44c630$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.86033.3%20 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed DYNASTY24c599.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Inner Circle44c563.21$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.56440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Inner Circle48c525.3$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5320251.5%104 W · 98 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d7…0bd8backed Inner Circle5c509.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.743053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+86.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Inner Circle60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed DYNASTY54c499.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.996547.7%31 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…186cbacked DYNASTY59c499.92$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.957368.5%50 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Inner Circle5c490$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.512746.5%59 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x975d…cc7abacked Inner Circle54c476.16$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48f…e9b9backed Inner Circle55c464.38$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.976053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Inner Circle46c460$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.941050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Inner Circle59c453.22$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3359146.9%277 W · 314 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054e…9b8fbacked Inner Circle46c450.88$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Inner Circle46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7822839.5%90 W · 138 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4a…3da9backed DYNASTY60c410$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.742281.8%18 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+33.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked Inner Circle54c398$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9910042%42 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ee…ffe2backed Inner Circle63c318.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.574351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Inner Circle44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed DYNASTY31c285.37$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5439441.1%162 W · 232 L-18.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Inner Circle57c280.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7612547.2%59 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Inner Circle54c280.18$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.936450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Inner Circle78c276.92$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.925444.4%24 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Inner Circle47c263.42$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6119835.9%71 W · 127 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Inner Circle52c260.88$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6914146.1%65 W · 76 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle43c247.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.082,39547.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf848…8c59backed DYNASTY43c241.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.391428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed Inner Circle55c233.58$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.112958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle53c229.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.71,72341.3%711 W · 1,012 L-43.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…caa8backed DYNASTY55c229.09$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264240.5%17 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Inner Circle63c227.74$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.81825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Inner Circle54c224.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.273976.9%30 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle44c219.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0436037.5%135 W · 225 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7d…f754backed Inner Circle34c214.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed Inner Circle53c212.12$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.284560%27 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed DYNASTY52c205$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.454055%22 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Inner Circle45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11021759%128 W · 89 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddb…9369backed Inner Circle60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Inner Circle73c194.34$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7313033.1%43 W · 87 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked DYNASTY27c194.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5257545.2%260 W · 315 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Inner Circle44c192.48$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7938951.9%202 W · 187 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Inner Circle37c190.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.224533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Inner Circle53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6846650.2%234 W · 232 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c4…b477backed Inner Circle60c188.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+74.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle52c183.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.181,48248.9%724 W · 758 L+32.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3231…6e75backed DYNASTY56c175.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.048554.1%46 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8a…a98abacked Inner Circle34c171.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6610258.8%60 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle58c170.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1154538.5%210 W · 335 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Inner Circle33c160$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2133452.7%176 W · 158 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8118…783cbacked Inner Circle44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.