TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5799…db25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,096
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT46049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 460 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$70.34
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$38.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.13
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.47
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.05
Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.39
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$128.63
Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$51.58
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$43.33
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked No Hoodwink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.12
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.88
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$163.56
Showing 25 of 460 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT41945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 419 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+193.9%+$95
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)backed LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$25
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.44
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$32.63
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.41
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$8.62
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.1
LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.81
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 419 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11048.2%53 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$121.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$32.73
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.57
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$129.37
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$84.91
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.64
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 4 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$118.2
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$72.97
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.95
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$94.41
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$54.01
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$525.09
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$1,552.57
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.69
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+54.1%+$487.18
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+119.5%+$597.34
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,885Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+32.2%+$605.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+196.8%+$1,968.33
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$373.59
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$328.97
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+84.6%+$1,980.36
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.66
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,130.8
Trump x Putin talk by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$268.55
Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$893.56
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$200.46
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$237.16
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.06
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.95
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.54
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$190.7
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$78.39
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$321.34
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$430.59
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.04
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$359.74
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$163.29
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$478
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.29
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.05
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Stan Dorsainvil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$224.18
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ezra Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$158.76
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Stewart Nicoll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alvin Hines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$244.64
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$185.13
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$508.23
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$224.77
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+65.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+266.1%+$1,322.47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+243.9%+$1,219.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67%+$670.43
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+787.5%+$3,937.34
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$502.8
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40%+$399.75
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$751.16
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+93.6%+$935.73
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$114.54
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+61.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+148.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+646.5%+$1,086.09
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$400.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$571.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$297.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.