TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf496…fe79backed RED Canids27c7,054$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.5330947.2%146 W · 163 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports71c6,156$4,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.391,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked RED Canids41c6,145$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.347252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked RED Canids39c3,349$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.714032.1%45 W · 95 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked FURIA Esports59c3,000$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.8484360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed RED Canids44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked FURIA Esports67c2,850$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.9722667.3%152 W · 74 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed RED Canids28c2,770$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.991,06028.5%302 W · 758 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed RED Canids23c2,700$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.521,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed FURIA Esports63c2,654$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.6145547.7%217 W · 238 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA Esports79c2,452$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0464455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked RED Canids10c2,250$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.071,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked RED Canids1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports62c1,676$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.272,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed RED Canids37c1,676$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62027034.8%94 W · 176 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed FURIA Esports77c1,566$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.871,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed FURIA Esports69c1,480$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.9215751.6%81 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed RED Canids19c1,443$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2741227.4%113 W · 299 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed FURIA Esports59c1,346$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8116657.8%96 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed RED Canids43c1,300$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed RED Canids28c1,284$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.231,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed RED Canids40c1,276$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.5465047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed RED Canids41c1,250$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8559459.1%351 W · 243 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed RED Canids25c1,201$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30078646.4%365 W · 421 L+19.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7a…f252backed RED Canids40c1,187$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed FURIA Esports67c1,168$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1226961.7%166 W · 103 L+22.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed FURIA Esports69c1,167$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3529748.1%143 W · 154 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed FURIA Esports78c1,071$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6819259.9%115 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed RED Canids48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.635758.5%209 W · 148 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed RED Canids40c1,045$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.2417448.3%84 W · 90 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FURIA Esports48c941.04$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2287443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked RED Canids8c929.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.622,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdee7…1ad7backed FURIA Esports80c874.14$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2313463.4%85 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked FURIA Esports74c851.89$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6469259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2364…18f2backed RED Canids25c797$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2510168.3%69 W · 32 L+14.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports61c777.12$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.081,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed RED Canids41c730.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1662158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked FURIA Esports71c705$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.351,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked RED Canids41c690.71$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.491,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA Esports64c672.26$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.091,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed FURIA Esports69c660$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.421749.8%108 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed FURIA Esports72c625$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17535654.8%195 W · 161 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids30c610.82$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.82,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed FURIA Esports62c600$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7735546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed RED Canids15c543$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.361,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked FURIA Esports62c537.45$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4523749.4%117 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked RED Canids30c528.88$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3448147.2%227 W · 254 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed RED Canids36c514.08$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8140446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed FURIA Esports62c505.61$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.571,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked FURIA Esports52c465.38$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3822751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed RED Canids45c445.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027941.2%115 W · 164 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed FURIA Esports80c435.95$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.26162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked RED Canids40c425.9$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.365251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed RED Canids36c401.34$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8231321.1%66 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked RED Canids6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412525.6%32 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed RED Canids46c394.64$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7522360.1%134 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked FURIA Esports76c392.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110851.9%56 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked RED Canids3c378.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.372281.8%4 W · 224 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed RED Canids45c358$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.91,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed RED Canids22c349.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.791,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed FURIA Esports79c317.58$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5825659%151 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked FURIA Esports72c313.72$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9226765.9%176 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbd…c5acbacked FURIA Esports62c309.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.975545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3835…bcacbacked FURIA Esports63c308.29$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.496459.4%38 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports54c296$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.882,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf52b…d547backed FURIA Esports78c294.38$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3819655.1%108 W · 88 L+13.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6803…5d6dbacked FURIA Esports65c291.1$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.16852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…ee2abacked FURIA Esports61c285$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1517944.7%80 W · 99 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed FURIA Esports76c281.29$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1827071.1%192 W · 78 L+0.7wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed RED Canids22c277.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.111,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed FURIA Esports78c277.16$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7131761.5%195 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed RED Canids23c270.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6847136.9%174 W · 297 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed FURIA Esports50c267.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6931650.3%159 W · 157 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RED Canids20c257.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.121,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports64c253$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.713,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed RED Canids33c250$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.520842.3%88 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed RED Canids35c245.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.781,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FURIA Esports58c244.13$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3288949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed RED Canids21c238.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025046%115 W · 135 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked FURIA Esports51c229.86$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.336458.8%214 W · 150 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RED Canids25c214.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.161,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FURIA Esports44c211$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.761,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FURIA Esports53c204$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8797744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed FURIA Esports52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619846%91 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed RED Canids21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216261.1%99 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a5…d45abacked RED Canids40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809852%51 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8206…4826backed FURIA Esports52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610142.6%43 W · 58 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed FURIA Esports52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9622639.4%89 W · 137 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed FURIA Esports52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616543%71 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…d485backed FURIA Esports52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615343.8%67 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed FURIA Esports53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3539342.2%166 W · 227 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed FURIA Esports80c199.85$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9727749.1%136 W · 141 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked RED Canids37c199.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.031,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked RED Canids33c183.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4619637.8%74 W · 122 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked RED Canids25c182.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.951,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked FURIA Esports65c174.63$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7636359%214 W · 149 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed FURIA Esports77c174.39$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.529162.2%181 W · 110 L+20.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked FURIA Esports49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7210936.7%40 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec21…33dcbacked FURIA Esports49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.728137%30 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked RED Canids40c165.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.651,08239.5%427 W · 655 L-78.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.