TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e7a…f252

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$355.04
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$190
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$179.52
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$170
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$241
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$251.86
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$435
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$86.9
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$481.46
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$104.95
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rocketsbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kapsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Kandy Royalsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$96
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$63.48
Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked Guyana Amazon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$64.83
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.74
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
The Hundred: MI London vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$60.67
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rocketsbacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallantsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Colombo Kapsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$53.24
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$139.5
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI Londonbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Nepalbacked Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$40.27
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$350.99
CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.82
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.22
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.11
CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$794
Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$67.22
CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$407.27
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$463.6
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.23
CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.46
CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$134.69
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$106.29
All 21 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$87.55
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 192.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$134.51
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$613.83
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$58
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$50.06
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$75.47
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.16
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$182.55
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$461.74
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$291.99
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.61
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$756.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$499.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.