Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x441bd77451b0f760485a076bd0db977ae3da791c13919ef7fb091abdcba6672a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $927,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,051,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 40c | 151,152$60,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,241.02 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 41c | 85,903$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,902.57 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 42c | 40,156$17,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,153.17 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Yandex | 60c | 28,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Yandex | 17c | 24,600$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.99 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 28c | 20,552$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.84 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Aurora | 43c | 19,570$8,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,181.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Yandex | 56c | 19,176$10,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.06 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 42c | 16,783$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,782.81 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Yandex | 55c | 16,050$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.1 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex | 37c | 15,291$5,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,657.67 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 15,114$8,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,302.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex | 60c | 15,000$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,049.99 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex | 60c | 13,815$8,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,293.2 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 53c | 11,364$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Yandex | 59c | 10,120$5,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970.8 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Yandex | 59c | 9,952$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.74 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 40c | 9,897$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.96 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…d9c3backed Team Yandex | 57c | 9,600$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 9,291$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.34 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 8,898$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.83 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Yandex | 59c | 8,831$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.51 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Team Yandex | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 7,867$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 7,683$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.07 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Aurora | 40c | 7,530$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,530.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Yandex | 13c | 7,394$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.65 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Aurora | 41c | 7,213$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.53 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 31c | 7,180$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex | 64c | 7,085$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.79 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 67c | 7,036$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.39 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 7,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.79 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Yandex | 54c | 6,412$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.97 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 6,316$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.98 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…d5eabacked Team Yandex | 58c | 5,879$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Team Yandex | 60c | 5,600$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 49c | 5,299$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.3 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…5f05backed Team Yandex | 14c | 5,275$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 5,078$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.02 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 5,030$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.9 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Aurora | 39c | 5,013$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.97 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Aurora | 41c | 4,943$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Yandex | 36c | 4,935$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 48c | 4,800$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.82 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Team Yandex | 60c | 4,563$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.3 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Yandex | 21c | 4,240$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.21 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 4,214$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.5 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 4,101$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.75 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 4,000$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.89 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Yandex | 9c | 3,932$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.31 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Team Yandex | 56c | 3,896$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.78 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Aurora | 39c | 3,870$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.69 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 3,806$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.75 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Yandex | 59c | 3,636$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Yandex | 39c | 3,562$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 3,539$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.67 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 3,525$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Yandex | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 9c | 3,156$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Aurora | 78c | 3,150$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.15 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Team Yandex | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Aurora | 57c | 2,955$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.78 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Yandex | 48c | 2,845$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 2,771$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.65 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,734$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.38 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Yandex | 30c | 2,641$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 59c | 2,578$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.23 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Yandex | 39c | 2,577$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Yandex | 10c | 2,564$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 54c | 2,555$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.59 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Yandex | 59c | 2,535$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.65 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Aurora | 72c | 2,510$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Yandex | 30c | 2,465$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.81 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed Aurora | 77c | 2,430$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex | 57c | 2,427$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.15 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,399$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.4 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Yandex | 57c | 2,358$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.81 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora | 38c | 2,355$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.32 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex | 2c | 2,171$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 39c | 2,116$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.87 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…61efbacked Aurora | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Yandex | 47c | 2,066$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.46 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 2,000$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.61 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Team Yandex | 9c | 2,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex | 23c | 2,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 1,841$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.07 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,819$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…94f6backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,797$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Aurora | 78c | 1,776$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.81 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Aurora | 68c | 1,772$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.6 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 1,769$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.37 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 1,761$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,750$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.61 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Yandex | 18c | 1,747$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.